2009 Scenario Reliability Assessment - NERC

Scenario Reliability Self-AssessmentsThe table below compares the Scenario Case and Reference Case generation mix for eachseasonal summer peak over the ten-year horizon.Table FRCC-2: Fuel-mix comparison for Reference and Scenario CasesProjected Available Generation Mix (MW)NuclearHydroCoalOilGasSolarOther2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Reference 3,896 3,896 3,933 3,933 4,372 4,476 4,476 4,476 5,649 6,823Scenario 3,896 3,896 3,933 3,933 4,372 4,476 4,476 4,476 5,649 6,823Change 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Reference 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55Scenario 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55Change 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Reference 8,614 8,469 8,465 8,467 8,474 8,496 9,326 9,346 9,346 9,346Scenario 8,614 8,466 8,462 8,474 8,481 8,503 9,333 9,353 9,353 9,353Change 0 ‐3 ‐3 6 6 6 6 6 6 6Reference 10,939 10,346 10,356 10,366 10,366 10,237 10,237 10,237 10,178 10,178Scenario 10,939 10,346 10,356 10,366 10,366 10,237 10,237 10,237 10,178 10,178Change 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Reference 26,413 29,236 31,039 32,860 33,090 34,807 35,243 35,489 38,072 38,807Scenario 26,413 29,236 31,039 32,460 32,204 33,363 33,083 32,671 34,094 34,311Change 0 0 0 ‐400 ‐886 ‐1,444 ‐2,160 ‐2,818 ‐3,978 ‐4,496Reference 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Scenario 0 55 110 565 1,042 1,519 1,996 2,473 3,650 4,132Change 0 55 110 565 1,042 1,519 1,996 2,473 3,650 4,132Reference 1,188 1,197 1,166 1,368 1,435 1,435 1,379 1,379 1,378 1,378Scenario 1,188 1,219 1,199 1,432 1,571 1,819 2,018 2,785 3,009 3,164Change 0 22 33 64 136 384 639 1,406 1,631 1,7862009 Scenario Reliability Assessment Page 33