2009 Scenario Reliability Assessment - NERC

Scenario Reliability Self-AssessmentsTable New England-2-2: Scenario Case Renewable Capacity Annual EnergyContributions By Project Type by Year of CommercializationRenewableCapacityCapacityFactor (2009GWh2010GWh2011GWh2012GWh2013GWh2014GWhTotalGWhType %)Onshore 32 % 0 541 2,817 2,203 2,268 303 8,132WindOffshore 37 % 0 0 1,497 0 1,125 65 2,687WindBiomass 90 % 63 1,498 386 1,104 0 788 3,840Landfill Gas 90 % 0 268 0 0 0 0 268Hydro 25 % 0 33 4 0 0 0 37Fuel cell 95 % 0 75 0 0 0 0 75Annual63 2,415 4,705 3,307 3,392 1,156 15,039EnergyTotalsCumulative63 2,478 7,183 10,490 13,883 15,039AnnualEnergyTotalsNote: Sums may not equal totals due to rounding.Onshore wind capacity totals approximately 2,901 MW, which at an assumed annualcapacity factor of 32 percent, equates to approximately 8,132 GWh of renewableenergy production by 2014.Offshore wind capacity totals approximately 829 MW, which at an assumed annualcapacity factor of 37 percent, equates to approximately 2,687 GWh of renewableenergy production by 2014.Biomass capacity totals approximately 487 MW, which at an assumed annualcapacity factor of 90 percent equates to approximately 3,840 GWh of renewableenergy production by 2014.Landfill gas capacity totals approximately 34 MW, which at an assumed annualcapacity factor of 90 percent equates to approximately 268 GWh of renewable energyby 2014.Hydro-electric capacity totals approximately 17 MW, which at an assumed annualcapacity factor of 25 percent equates to approximately 37 GWh of renewable energyproduction by 2014.Fuel cell capacity totals approximately 9 MW, which at an assumed annual capacityfactor of 95 percent equates to approximately 75 GWh of renewable energyproduction by 2014.Total renewable capacity is 4,277 MW, which at the various assumed annual capacity factors ofeach technology type, equates to approximately 15,039 GWh of renewable energy production by2014. Assuming these renewable projects commercialize by their target dates and stay online,this annual energy production value can be transferred to the target assumption year of 2018.Page 702009 Scenario Reliability Assessment