Transportation energy data book: edition 23 - Oak Ridge National ...

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Using current registration data and a scrappage model by Greenspan and Cohen, [1996 paper: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640pap.pdf], ORNL calculated new automobile scrappage rates. The expected median lifetime for a 1990 model year automobile is 16.9 years. These data are fitted model values which assume constant economic conditions. Vehicle age a (years) Table 3.9 Automobile Scrappage and Survival Rates 1970, 1980 and 1990 Model Years 1970 model year 1980 model year 1990 model year Survival rate b Scrappag e rate c Survival rate b Scrappag e rate c a It was assumed that scrappage for vehicles less than 4 years old is 0. b The percentage of automobiles which will be in use at the end of the year. c The percentage of automobiles which will be retired from use during the year. TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: EDITION 23—2003 Survival rate b Scrappag e rate c 4 99.0 1.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 5 94.1 5.0 96.3 3.7 100.0 0.0 6 88.4 6.1 91.3 5.1 99.4 0.6 7 82.0 7.2 85.7 6.1 96.3 3.2 8 75.2 8.3 79.7 7.1 92.7 3.7 9 68.1 9.5 73.3 8.1 88.7 4.3 10 60.9 10.6 66.6 9.0 84.4 4.9 11 53.8 11.7 60.0 10.0 79.8 5.5 12 46.9 12.8 53.3 11.0 75.0 6.1 13 40.3 14.0 46.9 12.0 70.0 6.7 14 34.2 15.1 40.8 13.0 64.9 7.3 15 28.7 16.2 35.1 14.0 59.7 7.9 16 23.7 17.4 29.8 15.0 54.6 8.6 17 19.3 18.5 25.0 16.1 49.5 9.3 18 15.5 19.6 20.8 17.1 44.6 9.9 19 12.3 20.8 17.0 18.1 39.9 10.6 20 9.6 21.9 13.8 19.1 35.4 11.3 21 7.4 23.0 11.0 20.1 31.1 12.0 22 5.6 24.2 8.7 21.2 27.2 12.7 23 4.2 25.3 6.7 22.2 23.5 13.5 24 3.1 26.4 5.2 23.2 20.2 14.2 25 2.2 27.5 3.9 24.2 17.1 15.0 26 1.6 28.6 2.9 25.3 14.5 15.7 27 1.1 29.7 2.2 26.3 12.1 16.5 28 0.8 30.8 1.6 27.3 10.0 17.2 29 0.5 31.9 1.1 28.4 8.2 18.0 30 0.4 33.0 0.8 29.4 6.6 18.8 Median lifetime 11.5 years 12.5 years 16.9 years Source: Schmoyer, Richard L., unpublished study on scrappage rates, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 2001. 3–13
3–14 Source: See Table 3.9. Figure 3.3. Automobile Survival Rates TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: EDITION 23—2003
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Center for Transportation Analysis
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Users of the Transportation Energy
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vi TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Ta
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viii TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued)
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x TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Tab
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xii TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) T
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xiv TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) T
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xvi TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK
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xviii TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BO
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xx TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK:
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xxii TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOO
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xxiv TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOO
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1-2 Although the world has consumed
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1-4 This table shows petroleum prod
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1-6 Figure 1.2. World Oil Reserves,
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1-8 Total OECD government-owned pet
Page 34 and 35: 1-10 The share of petroleum importe
Page 36 and 37: 1-12 Estimates of military expendit
Page 38 and 39: TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: ED
Page 40 and 41: 1-16 Most of the petroleum imported
Page 42 and 43: 1-18 Millions of Barrels per Day Th
Page 44 and 45: 1-20 Pipelines accounted for two-th
Page 46 and 47: 2-2 Petroleum accounted for 40% of
Page 48 and 49: 2-4 The Energy Information Administ
Page 50 and 51: 2-6 As data about alternative fuel
Page 52 and 53: 2-8 The highway sector is by far th
Page 54 and 55: 2-10 The use of diesel for off-high
Page 56 and 57: 2-12 Nearly all of the fuel ethanol
Page 58 and 59: 2-14 Great care should be taken whe
Page 60 and 61: 2-16 Figure 2.2. Energy Intensities
Page 64 and 65: 2-20 Nearly all of the fuel ethanol
Page 68 and 69: 2-24 Figure 2.2. Energy Intensities
Page 72 and 73: Source Chapter 3 All Highway Vehicl
Page 78 and 79: The data on automobile and light tr
Page 82 and 83: The average age of automobiles was
Page 86 and 87: Using current registration data and
Page 88 and 89: Using current registration data and
Page 90 and 91: Chapter 4 Light Vehicles and Charac
Page 92 and 93: The Federal Highway Administration
Page 94 and 95: Over one-quarter of autos sold in 2
Page 96 and 97: The sales-weighted fuel economy of
Page 98 and 99: Back in 1976 only 20% of new light
Page 100 and 101: The compact, midsize, and large aut
Page 102 and 103: The large car size class is the onl
Page 104 and 105: The sales-weighted wheelbase of new
Page 106 and 107: The number of franchised dealership
Page 108 and 109: The Corporate Average Fuel Economy
Page 110 and 111: Manufacturers of autos and light tr
Page 112 and 113: Consumers continue to demand gas gu
Page 114 and 115: Vehicle Table 4.23 Vehicle Specific
Page 116 and 117: Source: See Table 4.23. Figure 4.2.
Page 118 and 119: The Environmental Protection Agency
Page 120 and 121: The US06 driving cycle was develope
Page 122 and 123: When comparing data between countri
Page 124 and 125: In 2001, the fatality rate for vehi
Page 126 and 127: For fatal crashes in 2001, sport-ut
Page 128 and 129: Source Chapter 5 Heavy Vehicles and
Page 130 and 131: Combination trucks include all truc
Page 132 and 133: Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey Th
Page 134 and 135:
As expected, most light trucks trav
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In 1997 nearly 60% of all truck fle
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Commodity Flow Survey The Commodity
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Industries covered by the 1997 Comm
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There are currently not many source
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6-2 Alternative Fuels The U.S. Depa
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6-4 Nearly 90% of private alternati
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6-6 This list includes public and p
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6-8 The Honda Insight, Civic Hybrid
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6-10 The relative efficiencies of s
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6-12 In 1999 (the latest year for w
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6-14 Table 6.10 Properties of Conve
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Source Chapter 7 Fleet Vehicles and
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According to these estimates of lig
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These data, which apply to domestic
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Table 7.6 Federal Fleet Vehicle Acq
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Source Chapter 8 Household Vehicles
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Vehicle-miles per capita have nearl
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Household vehicle ownership shows a
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Due to methodology improvements in
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In 2001 vehicle-miles traveled (vmt
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The average vehicle occupancy, calc
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The average annual miles per vehicl
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According to the U.S. Census data,
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Sales of bicycles with wheel sizes
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In 2001, 5% of walk trips and 8% of
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Personal-use vehicles are by far th
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Source Chapter 9 Nonhighway Modes S
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These data include all internationa
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In the early seventies, domestic wa
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TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: ED
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The Interstate Commerce Commission
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The “other” category, which con
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The National Railroad Passenger Cor
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This table on transit rail operatio
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10-6 Though the cost of crude oil c
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10-8 The fuel prices shown here are
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10-10 Table 10.7 State Taxes on Mot
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10-12 At the end of 2001, only four
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10-14 In current dollars, import ca
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10-18 Knowing the number of employe
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11-2 The U. S. accounted for 23.0%
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11-4 Carbon dioxide emissions in 20
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11-6 Most U.S. transportation secto
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Source Chapter 12 Criteria Air Poll
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The transportation sector accounted
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The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emi
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APPENDIX A SOURCES & METHODOLOGIES
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Highway energy use Automobiles Ener
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Trucks Eno Transportation Foundatio
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Medium/Heavy Trucks: DOT, FHWA, Hig
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Nonhighway energy use Air General A
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Water Freight: Total - DOE, EIA, Fu
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Pipeline The sum of natural gas, cr
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Rail Freight: AAR, Railroad Facts,
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Transit - APTA, 2003 Transit Fact B
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Automobiles Passenger Travel and En
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Intercity School Air Passenger-mile
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Automobiles Highway Passenger Mode
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Air Certificated air carriers Nonhi
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Truck Freight Mode Energy Intensiti
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Sales - Domestic and import totals
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Trucks less than 8,500 lbs (Classes
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Light Fleet Vehicle Population Flee
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Light trucks Business Bobit Publish
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B-2 Pounds (lb) Table B.1 Hydrogen
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B-4 Table B.4 Fuel Equivalents 1 mi
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B-6 Table B.7 Distance and Velocity
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B-8 FROM Horsepower Kilowatts Table
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B-10 Table B.12 Fuel Efficiency Con
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B-12 Table B.14 Metric Units and Ab
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APPENDIX C MAPS TRANSPORTATION ENER
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Figure C1. Census Divisions and Reg
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Source: See Table C.2. Figure C.2.
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G-2 Alcohol - The family name of a
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G-4 Combination trucks - Consist of
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G-6 Energy capacity - Measured in k
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G-8 person living alone, two or mor
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G-10 M100 - 100% methanol. Medium t
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G-12 Poland, Portugal, Spain, Swede
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G-14 Proved Reserves of Crude Oil -
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G-16 Test weight - The weight setti
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TITLE INDEX TRANSPORTATION ENERGY D
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Automobiles (continued) Average Age
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(Category LDT3) ...................
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Countries Petroleum Stocks of OECD
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Light Truck Corporate Average Fuel
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Heavy Trucks.......................
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FY Federal Fleet Vehicle Acquisitio
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Incentives State Ethanol Incentives
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Mile Automobile Operating Cost per
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Oil World Crude Oil Production, 196
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Powered Federal Exhaust Emission Ce
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New Retail Sales of Trucks 10,000 p
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Standards Automobile Corporate Aver
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Time Average Length of Time Busines
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United States Petroleum Production,
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Workers Workers by Commute Time, 19
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