Transportation energy data book: edition 23 - Oak Ridge National ...

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Using current registration data and a scrappage model by Greenspan and Cohen [1996 paper: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1996/199640/199640pap.pdf], ORNL calculated heavy truck (trucks over 26,000 lbs. gross vehicle weight) scrappage rates. The expected median lifetime for a 1990 model year heavy truck is 29 years. These data are fitted model values which assume constant economic conditions. Vehicle age b (years) Table 3.11 Heavy Truck a Scrappage and Survival Rates 1970 model year 1980 model year 1990 model year Survival rate c Scrappag e rate d Survival rate b Scrappag e rate c a Heavy trucks are trucks more than 26,000 lbs. gross vehicle weight. b It was assumed that scrappage for vehicles less than 4 years old is 0. c The percentage of heavy trucks which will be in use at the end of the year. d The percentage of heavy trucks which will be retired from use during the year. TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: EDITION 23—2003 Survival rate b Scrappag e rate c 4 98.8 1.2 98.5 1.5 99.4 0.6 5 97.2 1.6 96.7 1.9 98.6 0.8 6 95.3 1.9 94.5 2.3 97.6 1.0 7 93.2 2.3 92.0 2.7 96.5 1.2 8 90.7 2.6 89.1 3.1 95.2 1.3 9 88.1 3.0 86.0 3.5 93.8 1.5 10 85.2 3.3 82.7 3.9 92.2 1.7 11 82.1 3.6 79.1 4.3 90.5 1.9 12 78.8 4.0 75.4 4.7 88.6 2.0 13 75.4 4.3 71.6 5.1 86.7 2.2 14 71.9 4.7 67.7 5.5 84.6 2.4 15 68.3 5.0 63.7 5.9 82.4 2.6 16 64.6 5.3 59.7 6.3 80.2 2.7 17 61.0 5.7 55.7 6.7 77.9 2.9 18 57.3 6.0 51.8 7.1 75.5 3.1 19 53.7 6.3 47.9 7.4 73.0 3.3 20 50.1 6.7 44.2 7.8 70.5 3.4 21 46.6 7.0 40.6 8.2 68.0 3.6 22 43.2 7.3 37.1 8.6 65.4 3.8 23 39.9 7.6 33.7 9.0 62.8 3.9 24 36.7 8.0 30.6 9.4 60.3 4.1 25 33.7 8.3 27.6 9.7 57.7 4.3 26 30.8 8.6 24.8 10.1 55.1 4.5 27 28.0 8.9 22.2 10.5 52.6 4.6 28 25.4 9.3 19.8 10.9 50.0 4.8 29 23.0 9.6 17.6 11.2 47.6 5.0 30 20.7 9.9 15.5 11.6 45.1 5.1 Median lifetime 20.0 years 18.5 years 28.0 years Source: Schmoyer, Richard L., unpublished study on scrappage rates, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 2001. 3–17
3–18 Figure 3.5. Heavy Truck Survival Rates Source: See Table 3.11. Model year ‘90 estimates are based on minimal preliminary data. TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: EDITION 23—2003
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Center for Transportation Analysis
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Users of the Transportation Energy
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vi TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Ta
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viii TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued)
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x TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Tab
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xii TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) T
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xiv TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) T
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xvi TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK
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xviii TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BO
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xx TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK:
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xxii TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOO
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xxiv TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOO
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1-2 Although the world has consumed
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1-4 This table shows petroleum prod
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1-6 Figure 1.2. World Oil Reserves,
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1-8 Total OECD government-owned pet
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1-10 The share of petroleum importe
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1-12 Estimates of military expendit
Page 38 and 39: TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: ED
Page 40 and 41: 1-16 Most of the petroleum imported
Page 42 and 43: 1-18 Millions of Barrels per Day Th
Page 44 and 45: 1-20 Pipelines accounted for two-th
Page 46 and 47: 2-2 Petroleum accounted for 40% of
Page 48 and 49: 2-4 The Energy Information Administ
Page 50 and 51: 2-6 As data about alternative fuel
Page 52 and 53: 2-8 The highway sector is by far th
Page 54 and 55: 2-10 The use of diesel for off-high
Page 56 and 57: 2-12 Nearly all of the fuel ethanol
Page 58 and 59: 2-14 Great care should be taken whe
Page 60 and 61: 2-16 Figure 2.2. Energy Intensities
Page 64 and 65: 2-20 Nearly all of the fuel ethanol
Page 68 and 69: 2-24 Figure 2.2. Energy Intensities
Page 72 and 73: Source Chapter 3 All Highway Vehicl
Page 78 and 79: The data on automobile and light tr
Page 82 and 83: The average age of automobiles was
Page 84 and 85: Using current registration data and
Page 86 and 87: Using current registration data and
Page 90 and 91: Chapter 4 Light Vehicles and Charac
Page 92 and 93: The Federal Highway Administration
Page 94 and 95: Over one-quarter of autos sold in 2
Page 96 and 97: The sales-weighted fuel economy of
Page 98 and 99: Back in 1976 only 20% of new light
Page 100 and 101: The compact, midsize, and large aut
Page 102 and 103: The large car size class is the onl
Page 104 and 105: The sales-weighted wheelbase of new
Page 106 and 107: The number of franchised dealership
Page 108 and 109: The Corporate Average Fuel Economy
Page 110 and 111: Manufacturers of autos and light tr
Page 112 and 113: Consumers continue to demand gas gu
Page 114 and 115: Vehicle Table 4.23 Vehicle Specific
Page 116 and 117: Source: See Table 4.23. Figure 4.2.
Page 118 and 119: The Environmental Protection Agency
Page 120 and 121: The US06 driving cycle was develope
Page 122 and 123: When comparing data between countri
Page 124 and 125: In 2001, the fatality rate for vehi
Page 126 and 127: For fatal crashes in 2001, sport-ut
Page 128 and 129: Source Chapter 5 Heavy Vehicles and
Page 130 and 131: Combination trucks include all truc
Page 132 and 133: Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey Th
Page 134 and 135: As expected, most light trucks trav
Page 136 and 137: In 1997 nearly 60% of all truck fle
Page 138 and 139:
Commodity Flow Survey The Commodity
Page 140 and 141:
Industries covered by the 1997 Comm
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There are currently not many source
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6-2 Alternative Fuels The U.S. Depa
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6-4 Nearly 90% of private alternati
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6-6 This list includes public and p
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6-8 The Honda Insight, Civic Hybrid
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6-10 The relative efficiencies of s
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6-12 In 1999 (the latest year for w
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6-14 Table 6.10 Properties of Conve
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Source Chapter 7 Fleet Vehicles and
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According to these estimates of lig
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These data, which apply to domestic
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Table 7.6 Federal Fleet Vehicle Acq
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Source Chapter 8 Household Vehicles
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Vehicle-miles per capita have nearl
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Household vehicle ownership shows a
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Due to methodology improvements in
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In 2001 vehicle-miles traveled (vmt
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The average vehicle occupancy, calc
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The average annual miles per vehicl
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According to the U.S. Census data,
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Sales of bicycles with wheel sizes
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In 2001, 5% of walk trips and 8% of
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Personal-use vehicles are by far th
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Source Chapter 9 Nonhighway Modes S
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These data include all internationa
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In the early seventies, domestic wa
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TRANSPORTATION ENERGY DATA BOOK: ED
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The Interstate Commerce Commission
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The “other” category, which con
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The National Railroad Passenger Cor
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This table on transit rail operatio
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10-6 Though the cost of crude oil c
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10-8 The fuel prices shown here are
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10-10 Table 10.7 State Taxes on Mot
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10-12 At the end of 2001, only four
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10-14 In current dollars, import ca
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10-18 Knowing the number of employe
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11-2 The U. S. accounted for 23.0%
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11-4 Carbon dioxide emissions in 20
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11-6 Most U.S. transportation secto
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Source Chapter 12 Criteria Air Poll
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The transportation sector accounted
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The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emi
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APPENDIX A SOURCES & METHODOLOGIES
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Highway energy use Automobiles Ener
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Trucks Eno Transportation Foundatio
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Medium/Heavy Trucks: DOT, FHWA, Hig
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Nonhighway energy use Air General A
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Water Freight: Total - DOE, EIA, Fu
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Pipeline The sum of natural gas, cr
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Rail Freight: AAR, Railroad Facts,
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Transit - APTA, 2003 Transit Fact B
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Automobiles Passenger Travel and En
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Intercity School Air Passenger-mile
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Automobiles Highway Passenger Mode
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Air Certificated air carriers Nonhi
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Truck Freight Mode Energy Intensiti
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Sales - Domestic and import totals
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Trucks less than 8,500 lbs (Classes
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Light Fleet Vehicle Population Flee
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Light trucks Business Bobit Publish
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B-2 Pounds (lb) Table B.1 Hydrogen
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B-4 Table B.4 Fuel Equivalents 1 mi
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B-6 Table B.7 Distance and Velocity
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B-8 FROM Horsepower Kilowatts Table
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B-10 Table B.12 Fuel Efficiency Con
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B-12 Table B.14 Metric Units and Ab
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APPENDIX C MAPS TRANSPORTATION ENER
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Figure C1. Census Divisions and Reg
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Source: See Table C.2. Figure C.2.
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G-2 Alcohol - The family name of a
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G-4 Combination trucks - Consist of
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G-6 Energy capacity - Measured in k
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G-8 person living alone, two or mor
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G-10 M100 - 100% methanol. Medium t
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G-12 Poland, Portugal, Spain, Swede
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G-14 Proved Reserves of Crude Oil -
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G-16 Test weight - The weight setti
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TITLE INDEX TRANSPORTATION ENERGY D
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Automobiles (continued) Average Age
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(Category LDT3) ...................
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Countries Petroleum Stocks of OECD
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Light Truck Corporate Average Fuel
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Heavy Trucks.......................
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FY Federal Fleet Vehicle Acquisitio
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Incentives State Ethanol Incentives
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Mile Automobile Operating Cost per
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Oil World Crude Oil Production, 196
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Powered Federal Exhaust Emission Ce
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New Retail Sales of Trucks 10,000 p
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Standards Automobile Corporate Aver
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Time Average Length of Time Busines
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United States Petroleum Production,
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Workers Workers by Commute Time, 19
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