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Chapter I Intro & Objectives - SPREP

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PHOENIX ISLANDS PROTECTED AREA MANAGEMENT PLAN<br />

<strong>Chapter</strong> III. Background, 1. Physical Setting of the Islands<br />

Draft 1 March 2007<br />

Climate Research Committee (1995) reported that studies were on-going to examine highresolution<br />

δ 18 O records and records of other trace elements at key locations in the Pacific,<br />

including Abariringa (Kanton). This included collection of old coral (hundreds of years old)<br />

from key sites. Climate Research Committee (1995) reported that old corals had already<br />

been collected from Abariringa (Kanton).<br />

Xavier (2002) noted that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) had the strongest signal in<br />

the eastern and central tropical Pacific. Intraseasonal variability was characterized by a 40 to<br />

50 day oscillation referred to as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). Available data from<br />

Abariringa (Canton) and other stations were analyzed. Spectral peaks were observed in 41 to<br />

53 day intervals. In addition, large coherence between variables was noticed such as surface<br />

pressure at Abariringa (Canton) following that of Balboa in Panama by 5 to 6 days. Xavier<br />

(2002) noted that the MJO affected the entire tropical troposphere and interacts with El Niño.<br />

The various models that have been proposed to model MJO were not yet adequate (Xavier<br />

2002).<br />

Clarke and Van Gorder (2003) used Abariringa (Kanton) sea level data to test their model for<br />

improving El Nino predictions. They integrated Indo-Pacific winds and equatorial Pacific<br />

upper ocean heat content data in their model.<br />

BIRNIE<br />

Rain - Bryan (1941 and 1942) classified the 5 northern Phoenix Islands (including Birnie) as<br />

dry islands with average annual rainfall not exceeding 64 cm (25 inches).<br />

51

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