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The field study sites include notable resorts, ports <strong>and</strong><br />
an airport that are at less than 6 m above sea level.<br />
Beach area losses in <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> were also<br />
calculated for 0.5 m, 1 m, 2 m <strong>and</strong> 3 m scenario (Table<br />
1Table 4.6.2). At a 0.5 m SLR scenario, more than half<br />
of the beach area will be lost in Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk West<br />
Shore (53%) <strong>and</strong> Historic Cockburn Town (65%). All<br />
(100%) of the beach area will be lost in Historic<br />
Cockburn Town under a 2 m SLR scenario, with all<br />
(100%) of the beach area in Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk Cruise Centre<br />
<strong>and</strong> Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk West Shore under a 3 m SLR scenario.<br />
Figure 2: Erosion at Cedar Grove Beach, TCI<br />
It is important to note that the critical beach assets<br />
would be affected much earlier than the SLR induced<br />
erosion damages to tourism infrastructure due to SLR-induced coastal erosion. Indeed if erosion is<br />
damaging tourism infrastructure, it means that the beach will have essentially disappeared.<br />
Table 1: Beach area losses at three beach locations in the <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />
Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk – Cruise<br />
Centre<br />
SLR Scenario Beach Area Beach<br />
Lost to SLR Area Lost<br />
(m²)<br />
(%)<br />
Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk – West<br />
Shore<br />
Beach Area Beach<br />
Lost to SLR Area Lost<br />
(m²) (%)<br />
xx<br />
Historic Cockburn<br />
Town<br />
Beach Area Beach<br />
Lost to SLR Area Lost<br />
(m²) (%)<br />
0.5m 12,149 45% 30,874 53% 4,275 65%<br />
1.0m 4,380 61% 9,887 70% 1,019 81%<br />
2.0m 9,886 97% 13,723 94% 1,247 100%<br />
3.0m 778 100% 3,750 100% - -<br />
Table 2 shows that with projected 50 m erosion, 95% of the resorts in the <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s would<br />
be at risk, with all (100%) at risk with 100 m of erosion. Sea turtle nesting sites are also severely impacted<br />
by SLR induced erosion, with 100% of these sites impacted with a 50 m erosion scenario. Such impacts<br />
would transform coastal tourism across the <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s, with implications for property values,<br />
insurance costs, destination competitiveness, marketing, <strong>and</strong> wider issues of local employment <strong>and</strong> the<br />
economic well being of thous<strong>and</strong>s of employees.<br />
Table 2: Impacts associated with 1 m <strong>and</strong> 2 m SLR <strong>and</strong> 50m <strong>and</strong> 100m beach erosion in the <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />
EVENT SCALE<br />
Tourism Attractions Transportation Infrastructure<br />
Major<br />
Tourism<br />
Resorts<br />
Sea Turtle<br />
Nesting<br />
Sites<br />
Airport<br />
L<strong>and</strong>s<br />
Major<br />
Road<br />
Networks<br />
Port<br />
L<strong>and</strong>s<br />
SLR 1.0 m 73% 44% 50% 4% 40%<br />
2.0 m 86% 60% - 6% -<br />
Erosion 50 m 95% 100% - - -<br />
100 m 100% - - - -
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