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Turks and Caicos Islands

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Annual<br />

DJF<br />

MAM<br />

JJA<br />

SON<br />

Annual<br />

DJF<br />

MAM<br />

JJA<br />

SON<br />

Table 3.9.1: Observed <strong>and</strong> GCM projected changes in rainfall extremes for <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

Observed<br />

Mean<br />

1970-99<br />

<strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s: Country scale changes in Rainfall Extremes<br />

Observed<br />

Trend<br />

1960-<br />

2006<br />

% Change<br />

in % per<br />

decade<br />

mm Change<br />

in mm<br />

per<br />

decade<br />

Projected changes by Projected changes by Projected changes by the<br />

the 2020s<br />

the 2050s<br />

2080s<br />

Mi Medi Max Min Median Max Min Median Max<br />

n an<br />

% total rainfall falling in Heavy Events (R95pct)<br />

Change in % Change in %<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

A2<br />

A1B<br />

B1<br />

-12 0 4 -15 -1 5<br />

-18 0 2 -17 -2 5<br />

-10 0 3 -14 -1 4<br />

-11 1 9 -11 0 12<br />

-10 1 6 -17 -1 8<br />

-7 0 2 -11 -2 6<br />

-18 -5 3 -18 -6 12<br />

-20 -4 0 -22 -2 7<br />

-15 -4 8 -14 -2 19<br />

-19 -3 6 -23 -6 2<br />

-20 -3 8 -22 -5 6<br />

-14 -1 5 -15 -1 7<br />

-20 -1 4 -15 -2 7<br />

-18 0 7 -20 2 7<br />

-9<br />

Maximum 1-day rainfall (RX1day)<br />

0 5 -14 -1 8<br />

Change in mm Change in mm<br />

27<br />

-4 0 7 -9 0 10<br />

-6 0 9 -6 0 11<br />

-4 0 10 -7 0 6<br />

-4 0 5 -4 1 4<br />

-3 0 2 -6 0 6<br />

-2 0 2 -2 0 2<br />

-5 -1 5 -8 -1 4<br />

-6 -1 5 -7 -1 6<br />

-3 0 4 -5 0 11<br />

-5 0 2 -9 -1 0<br />

-5 0 4 -6 -1 1<br />

-4 0 7 -4 -1 4<br />

-4 0 6 -10 0 11<br />

-7 0 11 -6 0 12<br />

-2 0 8 -5 -1 3

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