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Turks and Caicos Islands

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Table 3.3.2: GCM <strong>and</strong> RCM projected changes in <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> under the A2 scenario<br />

18<br />

Projected changes by the 2080s<br />

SRES A2<br />

Min Median Max<br />

GCM Ensemble Range -29<br />

Change in mm<br />

-6 3<br />

Annual RCM (ECHAM4)<br />

5<br />

RCM (HadCM3)<br />

-44<br />

GCM Ensemble Range -13 1 28<br />

DJF RCM (ECHAM4)<br />

20<br />

RCM (HadCM3)<br />

5<br />

GCM Ensemble Range -29 -10 1<br />

MAM RCM (ECHAM4)<br />

-2<br />

RCM (HadCM3)<br />

-38<br />

GCM Ensemble Range -52 -16 0<br />

JJA RCM (ECHAM4)<br />

-8<br />

RCM (HadCM3)<br />

-68<br />

GCM Ensemble Range -41 -1 18<br />

SON RCM (ECHAM4)<br />

12<br />

RCM (HadCM3)<br />

-75<br />

Table 3.3.3: Observed <strong>and</strong> GCM projected changes in precipitation (%) for <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

Observed<br />

Mean<br />

1970-99<br />

(mm per<br />

month)<br />

<strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> isl<strong>and</strong>s: Country Scale Changes in Precipitation<br />

Observed<br />

Trend<br />

1960-<br />

2006<br />

(change in<br />

% per<br />

decade)<br />

Projected changes by Projected changes by Projected changes by<br />

the 2020s<br />

the 2050s<br />

the 2080s<br />

Min Median Max Min Median Max Min Median Max<br />

% Change % Change % Change<br />

A2 -21 0 3 -41 -4 7 -63 -8 5<br />

Annual 77.1 0.3 A1B -29 -1 20 -45 -3 9 -48 -7 8<br />

B1 -28 -4 4 -31 -2 5 -39 -5 10<br />

A2 -16 -1 14 -24 0 30 -34 1 36<br />

DJF 52.9 -0.5 A1B -29 1 41 -39 0 27 -27 0 46<br />

B1 -23 0 12 -22 -3 21 -30 2 12<br />

A2 -18 -2 16 -51 -12 27 -54 -24 14<br />

MAM 80.8 1.8 A1B -34 3 26 -36 -8 18 -45 -15 4<br />

B1 -26 -8 5 -32 -7 21 -42 -6 31<br />

A2 -31 -7 3 -60 -13 9 -85 -30 0<br />

JJA 79 0.5 A1B -47 -12 28 -59 -15 26 -78 -19 5<br />

B1 -44 -10 13 -50 -15 10 -53 -12 9<br />

A2 -30 0 17 -36 -3 19 -73 -1 20<br />

SON 96.3 0.4 A1B -28 -4 28 -43 0 29 -50 1 28<br />

B1 -27 -3 6 -32 -5 12 -35 -4 26

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