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Turks and Caicos Islands

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atmospheric circulation can be argued to result in wind pattern shifts <strong>and</strong> therefore wind energy potential.<br />

Climate models are inconclusive for projections of wind speed changes (See Section 3). Similarly, changes in<br />

solar radiation incidence <strong>and</strong> increases in temperature can impact the effectiveness of electrical generation<br />

by photovoltaic cells <strong>and</strong> solar thermal energy collection. The projected increase in the number of sunshine<br />

hours for The <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s over the next few decades, however, increases the viability of using<br />

photovoltaic technology – even if only on the basis of increasing incidence of sunshine (IPCC, 2007b;<br />

Contreras-Lisperguer & de Cuba, 2008).<br />

Climate change, ocean-based impacts on the energy system include storm surge events <strong>and</strong> SLR. These<br />

processes are a threat primarily to infrastructure located within the coastal zone, <strong>and</strong> within the impact<br />

range of these events. Storm surge predictions for Gr<strong>and</strong> Turk indicate that all but one of the power <strong>and</strong><br />

water utilities is located within the inundation zone for the surge + run-up scenario (ECLAC, 2008).<br />

The likelihood of climate change impacting on energy systems will vary. However, an assessment of the<br />

vulnerability of The <strong>Turks</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Caicos</strong> Isl<strong>and</strong>s’ systems should be prioritized, especially in the case of<br />

renewable energy sources that are being planned <strong>and</strong> which depend on specific climate parameters <strong>and</strong><br />

priority coastal infrastructure such as power plants.<br />

56

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