25.01.2014 Views

FINAL REPORT - International Joint Commission

FINAL REPORT - International Joint Commission

FINAL REPORT - International Joint Commission

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

If the Lake Ontario level is greater than 74.40 m, then do not allow P* limit to be less than the existing<br />

P* limit of 1958-D during the period from qm 12 to qm 47.<br />

IF qm > 11 AND qm < 48 THEN<br />

IF Lake Ontario level > 74.40 THEN<br />

MINPSTAR = Max(MINPSTAR, pstar58d)<br />

END IF<br />

END IF<br />

ANNEX 3<br />

Selected flow limit<br />

The selected maximum limit is the least of the various maximum limits (L, I, P, J+) and the minimum limit<br />

is the largest of the minimum limits (P*, M, J-). As in 1958-D, if a maximum limit is less than a minimum<br />

limit, then the maximum limit governs.<br />

Accumulating and zeroing simulated deviations<br />

In 58-DD, the difference between the 58-DD-specified flow and the Plan 1958-D flow is tracked and<br />

accumulated. These accumulated deviations are equivalent to a difference in the Lake Ontario levels that<br />

would result between 58-DD-simulated flows and the Plan 1958-D flows. The rules of 58-DD use the<br />

simulated 58-DD Lake Ontario level, while the Plan 1958-D rules are applied with the Lake Ontario level<br />

computed as though no deviations had occurred. As arises in actual operations, if the deviations become<br />

too great (i.e., the difference between the actual Lake Ontario level and the computed Plan 1958-D level<br />

becomes so large that the Plan-1958-D computed flows are no longer realistic for the given conditions),<br />

then the accumulated deviations are reset to zero. This is equivalent to resetting the Plan 1958-D-computed<br />

Lake Ontario level to the actual level. This has occurred eight times in actual practice since 1963.<br />

In 58-DD, the deviations account is reset under the following conditions:<br />

If the accumulated deviations are greater than +10000 m 3 /s-qm in July or August, then the<br />

accumulated deviations are reset to zero.<br />

If the accumulated deviations are less than -7000 m 3 /s-qm at the end of March, then the accumulated<br />

deviations are reset to zero.<br />

SELECT CASE accdev<br />

CASE IS > 10000<br />

IF month >= 7 AND month < 9 THEN<br />

accdev = 0<br />

clev = Lake Ontario level<br />

END IF<br />

CASE IS < -7000<br />

IF month = 3 AND qm = 4 THEN<br />

accdev = 0<br />

clev = Lake Ontario level<br />

END IF<br />

END SELECT<br />

Where “clev” is the Plan 1958-D-computed level.<br />

Lake Ontario level precision<br />

The 58-DD simulator applies the same degree of precision as actual operations, in which the Lake Ontario<br />

level is determined to the nearest centimetre prior to being entered into the computation. However, to<br />

more accurately track the Lake Ontario level and to avoid problems related to lack of precision with different<br />

software at 2 decimals, the level is computed to a precision of 6 decimal metres. Each time step, this<br />

6-decimal precision level is rounded to 2 decimals prior to entering into the plan rules to preserve<br />

consistency with operations.<br />

Options for Managing Lake Ontario and St. Lawrence River Water Levels and Flows<br />

177

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!