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FINAL REPORT - International Joint Commission

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Table C-18: Economic results for candidate plans by interest and region based on the climate<br />

change sequence C4—not as warm but wet<br />

ANNEX 3<br />

C4 – Not as Warm but Wet (Economic – Average Annual $M)<br />

Average Annual Net Benefits ($M) Plan A + Plan B + Plan D + Plan E<br />

Total $8.33 $11.78 $9.65 -$21.38<br />

COASTAL -$3.42 -$2.67 -$0.90 -$38.13<br />

Lake Ontario -$1.63 -$2.26 -$0.68 -$34.10<br />

Shore Protection Maintenance -$1.46 -$2.04 -$0.60 -$12.26<br />

Erosion to Unprotected Developed Parcels -$0.16 -$0.20 -$0.08 -$0.40<br />

Flooding -$0.01 -$0.03 $0.00 -$21.45<br />

Upper St. Lawrence River $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 -$1.84<br />

Flooding $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 -$1.84<br />

St. Lawrence -$1.80 -$0.41 -$0.22 -$2.19<br />

Flooding -$1.62 -$0.43 -$0.10 -$1.95<br />

Shore Protection Maintenance -$0.18 $0.02 -$0.12 -$0.24<br />

COMMERCIAL NAVIGATION -$0.61 $2.74 $3.06 $5.21<br />

Lake Ontario -$0.04 -$0.01 -$0.01 -$0.01<br />

Seaway -$0.56 $2.73 $3.00 $5.17<br />

Montreal down -$0.01 $0.02 $0.07 $0.06<br />

HYDROPOWER $7.29 $8.89 $4.01 $17.95<br />

NYPA-OPG $5.73 $7.50 $3.62 $15.26<br />

Hydro Quebec $1.56 $1.39 $0.39 $2.69<br />

RECREATIONAL BOATING $5.07 $2.83 $3.48 -$6.40<br />

Above Dam $3.28 $1.73 $2.62 -$8.06<br />

Lake Ontario $1.93 $0.68 $1.36 -$7.06<br />

Alex Bay $1.33 $0.94 $1.14 -$0.96<br />

Ogdensburg $0.01 $0.01 $0.01 -$0.15<br />

Lake St. Lawrence $0.00 $0.10 $0.11 $0.11<br />

Below Dam $1.79 $1.10 $0.86 $1.66<br />

Lac St. Louis $1.03 $0.68 $0.50 $0.95<br />

Montreal $0.64 $0.40 $0.32 $0.60<br />

Lac St. Pierre $0.12 $0.02 $0.04 $0.11<br />

M&I $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00<br />

SL One-time infrastructure costs $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00<br />

LSL Water Quality Investments $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00<br />

Notes to Table C-18:<br />

1. Figures represent the average annual impact relative to Plan 1958-DD, in millions of U.S. dollars. No discounting is<br />

applied. Blue indicates a positive net benefit relative to 1958-DD and red indicates a negative net benefit relative<br />

to 1958-DD.<br />

2. C1 through C4 represent four separate 101-year climate-change time series based on different supply series, where<br />

C1 is warm/dry, C2 is not so warm/dry, C3 is warm/wet and C4 is not so warm/wet.<br />

3. Plan E is shown for comparison purposes only to represent the natural flow condition. Plan E is not a candidate plan.<br />

Options for Managing Lake Ontario and St. Lawrence River Water Levels and Flows<br />

231

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