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Understanding global security - Peter Hough

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NATURAL THREATS TO SECURITY<br />

humanity posed by earthquakes is almost entirely due to the secondary effects of<br />

seismic waves destroying the man-made infrastructure built in such susceptible areas<br />

rather than the event in itself.<br />

Surface faulting<br />

Direct death by earthquake is rare but possible if someone is killed by a fall into<br />

a fault line, which has been widened or moved by seismic waves. More commonly,<br />

though still a relatively minor form of earthquake-related fatality, people can be killed<br />

by buildings being dislodged in this way.<br />

Ground motion<br />

Of far greater significance than faulting is the shaking effects of seismic waves on the<br />

earth’s surface. A combination of the waves’ amplitude, frequency and duration will<br />

determine how much ground motion they create. This is generally most pronounced<br />

near the earthquake’s epicentre (the point on the surface directly above the source<br />

of the seismic wave, the focus). Ground motion in itself is not hazardous to man but<br />

the effects it has on the human environment can be devastating.<br />

1 Falling buildings: The most common cause of death during an earthquake is<br />

as a result of the collapse of dwellings or other constructions. The twentieth<br />

century’s most calamitous earthquake, in Tang-shan China in 1976, killed<br />

nearly a quarter of a million people in this way. Most of the city’s buildings<br />

were destroyed during the principal earthquake and those that survived were<br />

then toppled by the aftershocks that followed. Hence, the design and location<br />

of buildings in earthquake prone areas is a critical factor in the scale of <strong>security</strong><br />

threat they represent. In some cities in locations vulnerable to earthquakes,<br />

such as Tokyo and San Francisco, the <strong>security</strong> threat to citizens is significantly<br />

diminished by the implementation of regulations requiring particular safetyconscious<br />

engineering techniques in the construction of buildings.<br />

2 Fire: The structural damage caused by earthquakes can prove lethal in ways<br />

other than crushing victims with masonry or causing them to fall to their<br />

deaths. A common knock-on effect is the spread of fire through a town hit by<br />

an earth tremor. Most of the casualties of the famous earthquakes that hit San<br />

Francisco in 1906 and Tokyo in 1923 were killed in fires instigated by damage<br />

to cookers and heating equipment. In Tokyo fire swept through wooden<br />

dwellings specifically designed to avoid the sorts of casualties associated with<br />

the fall of stone buildings.<br />

3 Liquefaction: Deaths may also result from earthquakes when geological<br />

conditions permit ground water to seep to the surface due to seismic disturbance<br />

in a process known as liquefaction. This can result in major land<br />

subsidence or flooding. It is in this way that many of the victims of the 1985<br />

Mexico City earthquake perished.<br />

4 Landslides: Earthquakes can also pose a hazard by prompting the fall of stones<br />

or soil from a hillside overlooking a town.<br />

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