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Understanding global security - Peter Hough

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MILITARY THREATS TO SECURITY FROM STATES<br />

posed about the recent wars could also be countered by clearer international<br />

legal guidelines. Yugoslavia and NATO could simultaneously point to UN Charter<br />

articles to support their positions that the other side was at fault in the 1999 war.<br />

A retreat from total war and the strengthening of a legal and ethical framework<br />

for fighting future wars in the human interest is surely something to be welcomed.<br />

The International Criminal Court provides some evidence that this is the way the<br />

international community is evolving (see Chapter 5).<br />

Conflict resolution<br />

A central feature of the New World Order was an increased commitment by the<br />

international community to work towards resolving violent conflicts. There was scope<br />

for optimism in the 1990s that the open sores that were the late twentieth century’s<br />

‘proxy wars’ could be allowed to heal now that the superpower interest in their<br />

maintenance was removed. Additionally, it was hoped that the ‘peace dividend’ of the<br />

East–West thaw could now be allocated to restoring order to militarized disputes<br />

unrelated to the Cold War. The results of this have been quite impressive. Research<br />

suggests that twice as many conflicts based on self-determination (both inter-state<br />

and civil) were resolved in the 1990s than in the whole Cold War era, with 14 such<br />

conflicts being ‘contained’ and 17 ‘settled’ in the New World Order era as opposed<br />

to six and nine, repsectively, between 1945 and 1990 (Gurr et al. 2001: 17). A more<br />

proactive UN and the determination of the USA to utilize their power in order to<br />

play the world policeman role in a diplomatic context have been key factors. US<br />

presidents played pivotal roles in the negotiation of settlements for the resolution<br />

of the Yugoslav wars of secession (in 1995 at Dayton), Northern Ireland ‘troubles’<br />

(in 1998 at Belfast) and the ultimately unsuccessful Oslo Accords (1993) aiming to<br />

resolve the Palestinian–Israeli conflict.<br />

Post-1990 conflict resolution has not, however, just been about a revival of<br />

collective <strong>security</strong> and superpower policing – less powerful actors and more subtle<br />

techniques have been an additional feature. Less powerful states have played arbitration<br />

roles, such as the government of Norway, which has played a role in<br />

encouraging peace in the inter-state conflicts between Israel and the Arab states,<br />

India and Pakistan and civil wars in the Philippines and, most notably, Sri Lanka.<br />

Humanitarian pressure groups have become an increased factor in promoting<br />

negotiation and compromise. International Alert have been prominent in instigating<br />

peace processes in many conflict areas and the Norwegian government have<br />

developed partnerships with groups such as the Norwegian Institute of International<br />

Affairs to lend assistance to the resolution of persistent armed conflicts such as in the<br />

Congo. Pressure groups cannot bring force to resolve disputes but stand a better<br />

chance than governments of being considered as impartial by those embroiled in<br />

conflict and can use their expertise to suggest innovative solutions to complex<br />

disputes.<br />

Post-Cold War conflict resolution has been marked by the use of strategies<br />

going beyond straight mutual compromise. ‘Conflict transformation’, in which<br />

common ground is found among warring parties by encouraging them to redefine<br />

their interests, is an increasingly prominent strategy, promoted by the UN and<br />

39

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