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Understanding global security - Peter Hough

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MILITARY THREATS TO SECURITY FROM STATES<br />

keep America in, Germany down and Russia out’ (Schweller 2001: 182). Despite<br />

momentous changes in the international environment some of that logic still persists.<br />

The 1999 expansion extended NATO’s reach into Russia’s traditional sphere of<br />

influence and, in the eyes of those countries, guaranteed that they would be free from<br />

the shadow of the ‘bear’.<br />

The even more complete westward integration of East Germany, through<br />

German reunification, brought fear to the British and French governments over the<br />

effect on their power in Western Europe. A bilateral meeting between the heads of<br />

the British and French governments, Thatcher and Mitterand, was held in 1989, prior<br />

to reunification, after which the former commented; ‘we both had the will to check<br />

the German juggernaut’ (Benjamin 2000). It is often forgotten that it was the fear of<br />

Germany rather than the USSR that sowed the seeds of NATO. France, the UK,<br />

Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg in 1948 founded the ‘Brussels Pact’,<br />

which was a defence community centred on a ‘trigger clause’ in which each state<br />

guaranteed to support the others in the event of an armed attack. The prospect of a<br />

revival in German nationalism that prompted this agreement, however, was overtaken<br />

by events as the more apparent threat posed by former ally the USSR became the<br />

focus for a similar, but much larger and more powerful, defence community. West<br />

Germany was soon brought into the NATO fold, contained not through deterrence<br />

but through the friendly restraint of new allies.<br />

Franco-British fears in 1989 were political and economic rather than military<br />

but most certainly present, and prompted distinct foreign policy approaches. The<br />

French response was to reactivate their enthusiasm for deeper European Community<br />

integration to ‘tie down Gulliver’, re-adopting their pro-federalist line of the 1950s<br />

formulated for much the same reasons. This included reviving the idea of European<br />

defence cooperation for the first time since that era when their initiative had been<br />

scuppered by British indifference and the rise of NATO. For the UK, and other<br />

‘Atlanticists’ like Denmark, the response to German reunification was to take strides<br />

to ensure that, with the receding of the Russian threat the other two components<br />

of Lord Ismay’s maxim were not forgotten. The British, aware that the USA could<br />

conceivably revert to pre-Cold War form and keep out of European military affairs<br />

unless absolutely necessary, redoubled their commitment to the ‘special relationship’,<br />

unconvinced that the newly revamped European Union offered a credible alternative<br />

source of military <strong>security</strong>. Significant voices in the USA advocated a return to<br />

isolationism but, mindful of the recent historical consequences of distortions in the<br />

European balance of power, the desire to project their influence rather than hold it<br />

back for emergencies held sway.<br />

Well, is it?<br />

The Cold War ‘hangover’ offers a vindication of the post-revisionist view that the<br />

conflict was, in essence, just another balance of power struggle. The balance has<br />

tilted but elements of the struggle remain. Clark, in 2001, argued that the Cold War<br />

had not yet been fully resolved because the process of peacemaking (as opposed to<br />

an event such as the Malta Summit or Paris Treaty) had not been completed (Clark<br />

2001: 6–11). The lack of a systematic attempt to mould a genuinely New World Order<br />

42

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