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Evaluation of the Ticket to Work Program Initial Evaluation Report

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74<br />

After some initial ups and downs that reflect <strong>the</strong> rapidly growing number <strong>of</strong> <strong>Ticket</strong>s<br />

mailed, <strong>the</strong> participation rate has increased steadily among beneficiaries in both Phase 1 and<br />

Phase 2 states. The rate in Phase 2 states is much lower but appears <strong>to</strong> reflect <strong>the</strong> more<br />

recent rollout <strong>of</strong> <strong>Ticket</strong>s in those states. The August 2003 participation rate in <strong>the</strong> Phase 2<br />

states is similar <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> participation rate in <strong>the</strong> Phase 1 states in June and July 2002, when <strong>the</strong><br />

initial Phase 1 mailings were nearing completion. Growth in <strong>the</strong> participation rate in Phase 1<br />

states has continued steadily from <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> initial mailings through August 2003. We<br />

would expect <strong>the</strong> experience in <strong>the</strong> Phase 2 states <strong>to</strong> be similar over <strong>the</strong> next 12 months.<br />

3. Payment and Provider Type<br />

A large majority <strong>of</strong> in-use <strong>Ticket</strong>s are assigned <strong>to</strong> SVRAs under <strong>the</strong> traditional payment<br />

system. In August 2003, <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> in-use <strong>Ticket</strong>s assigned under that system was 87<br />

percent in Phase 1 states and 75 percent in Phase 2 states (Figure IV.4). This share has been<br />

rising for two reasons. First, we know from interviews <strong>of</strong> SVRA staff that it <strong>to</strong>ok some<br />

months for <strong>the</strong> agencies <strong>to</strong> obtain <strong>Ticket</strong> assignments from existing clients after <strong>the</strong>y had<br />

received <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>Ticket</strong>s. As a result, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> <strong>Ticket</strong>s in use under <strong>the</strong> traditional<br />

payment system in <strong>the</strong> early months <strong>of</strong> rollout likely understates <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> beneficiaries<br />

receiving services from SVRAs under that system. Second, evidence from <strong>the</strong> site visits and<br />

from statistics on new assignments and withdrawals indicates that ENs, as a group, are<br />

reducing <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> <strong>Ticket</strong>s <strong>the</strong>y are willing <strong>to</strong> accept.<br />

Figure IV.4: In-Use <strong>Ticket</strong>s Under <strong>the</strong> Three Payment Systems<br />

Phase 1<br />

Phase 2<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Feb-02<br />

Apr-02<br />

Jun-02<br />

Aug-02<br />

Oct-02<br />

Dec-02<br />

Feb-03<br />

Apr-03<br />

Jun-03<br />

Aug-03<br />

Nov-02<br />

Dec-02<br />

Jan-03<br />

Feb-03<br />

Mar-03<br />

Apr-03<br />

May-03<br />

Jun-03<br />

Jul-03<br />

Aug-03<br />

Tradi<strong>to</strong>nal Payment System Outcome Only Miles<strong>to</strong>ne + Outcome<br />

Although <strong>Ticket</strong>s are considerably less likely <strong>to</strong> be assigned under <strong>the</strong> outcome-only<br />

system than under <strong>the</strong> miles<strong>to</strong>ne-outcome system, evidence through August 2003 indicates<br />

that use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> outcome-only system is now growing relative <strong>to</strong> use <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> miles<strong>to</strong>neoutcome<br />

system (Figure IV.5). In fact, it appears that in Phase I states, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Ticket</strong>s in use under <strong>the</strong> miles<strong>to</strong>ne-outcome system essentially s<strong>to</strong>pped growing early in 2003<br />

while <strong>the</strong> number under <strong>the</strong> outcome-only system continued its slow growth. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, in<br />

Phase 2 states, <strong>the</strong> outcome-only system was used relatively more frequently than at <strong>the</strong> same<br />

IV: Early Participation Patterns

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