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Doing Business in the Netherlands 2012 - American Chamber of ...

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Moreover, its f<strong>in</strong>ancial services <strong>in</strong>dustry is disproportionately large<br />

and has suffered heavy losses s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> downturn started.<br />

<strong>2012</strong> Budget Memorandum<br />

The Budget Memorandum <strong>2012</strong> ((Miljoenennota) focuses on -- <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e<br />

with <strong>the</strong> coalition agreement -- restor<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial stability, improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

public f<strong>in</strong>ances, streng<strong>the</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> ability <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy to grow and<br />

<strong>the</strong> ambition <strong>of</strong> a more compact government.<br />

Public f<strong>in</strong>ances <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands are slowly recover<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong><br />

crisis, but have not stabilized yet. In <strong>2012</strong>, <strong>the</strong> budget deficit (EMU<br />

balance) is expected to be EUR18 billion, expressed <strong>in</strong> a percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> economy that results <strong>in</strong> a deficit <strong>of</strong> 2.9 percent <strong>of</strong> Gross Domestic<br />

Product (GDP). This means that <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>, for <strong>the</strong> first time s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong><br />

crisis started, <strong>the</strong> Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands would meet <strong>the</strong> important 3 percent<br />

requirement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Stability and Growth Pact, <strong>the</strong> European standard<br />

for healthy public f<strong>in</strong>ances. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong>re are major<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties and because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> lower economic prognoses, <strong>the</strong><br />

budget deficit will shr<strong>in</strong>k less than <strong>in</strong>tended at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 2010 on <strong>the</strong><br />

basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> coalition agreement. The budget policy <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> government<br />

aims at keep<strong>in</strong>g a steady course even if <strong>the</strong> economy faces a<br />

headw<strong>in</strong>d. Extra measures are only needed when <strong>the</strong> budget deficit<br />

gets below <strong>the</strong> allowed marg<strong>in</strong> by more than 1 percent (warn<strong>in</strong>g<br />

marg<strong>in</strong>). However, that is not <strong>the</strong> case. Therefore, no extra cost<br />

cutt<strong>in</strong>g, on top <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> EUR18 billion cost-cutt<strong>in</strong>g package, is <strong>in</strong>cluded<br />

<strong>in</strong> this Budget Memorandum.<br />

Debt and Interest<br />

Public debt (EMU debt) is expected to amount <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong> to EUR407<br />

billion, or 65.3 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> GDP. That is an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>of</strong> 0.6<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>t compared to <strong>the</strong> most recent estimate for 2011. In<br />

order to f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>the</strong> debt, <strong>the</strong> <strong>2012</strong> budget has a budget item <strong>of</strong><br />

EUR10.4 billion for <strong>in</strong>terest expenses.<br />

16 Baker & McKenzie

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