Education Department, M<strong>in</strong>istry of Education. Discussion on account<strong>in</strong>g, and f<strong>in</strong>ancial system. November 1998, :- Ajarn Seksan Kerdpipat. Head of Information System Development, & Ajarn Charnsak Lueng-trirat. Head of Computer Network System, EMISC. Discussion on <strong>in</strong>formation development system and computer system available. November 1998, :- Mr. Ekachai Panmen. Director of Muang District Non-Formal Education Service Center, Muang District Chiangrai Prov<strong>in</strong>ce, Chiangrai Non-formal Education Center, Department of Nonformal Education. Dicussion of district, prov<strong>in</strong>cial f<strong>in</strong>ancial procedure and system. Phone Interview November, 1998. Mr. Satian (281-9809) EMISC, MOE. Discussion on f<strong>in</strong>ance system. November, 1998. Mr. Supansak (280-2940) OPS, MOE. Discussion on f<strong>in</strong>ance system. 150
Appendix 2 Projections of Costs of Expand<strong>in</strong>g Basic Education to 12 Years a. By mak<strong>in</strong>g some simplify<strong>in</strong>g assumptions it is possible to estimate the <strong>in</strong>creased costs of expand<strong>in</strong>g basic education to 12 years. To calculate these estimates, it was assumed that the ma<strong>in</strong> goals of expansion would be to <strong>in</strong>crease lower secondary participation rates to over 90 per cent by 2005, and to <strong>in</strong>crease upper secondary participation rates to over 50 per cent by the same year. The data shown <strong>in</strong> Table A1 are based on these assumptions, calculat<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>creases from the estimated basel<strong>in</strong>e data for 1999 shown <strong>in</strong> the first column (from ONEC and MOE data). It is further assumed that the first year of implementation of the expansion policy would be 2000, and the <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> enrollments would be gradual, but at a constant rate over the time period <strong>in</strong>volved. The parameters for the calculations and rates of <strong>in</strong>crease are shown <strong>in</strong> Table A2. A constant <strong>in</strong>flation rate of 5 per cent was assumed, and constant repetition and drop out rates as well. It was also assumed that the scale economies possible as a result of <strong>in</strong>creased enrollments would be offset by the additional costs of expansion of facilities and <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Therefore the per-pupil costs are simply <strong>in</strong>flated by the assumed annual rate. Table A1 – Estimates of Impacts of Increas<strong>in</strong>g Basic Education to 12 Years 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Primary Enrollment 6,600,000 6,666,000 6,732,660 6,799,987 6,867,986 6,936,666 7,006,033 Lower Sec. Enrollment 3,700,000 5,121,720 5,416,912 5,691,036 5,977,898 6,279,185 6,595,655 Upper Sec. Enrollment 1,800,000 1,758,700 2,543,513 2,821,057 3,046,115 3,280,526 3,532,101 Lower Sec. Partic. Rate 73.0% 75.9% 79.0% 82.1% 85.4% 88.8% 92.4% Upper Sec. Partic. Rate 44.0% 45.1% 46.2% 47.4% 48.6% 49.8% 51.0% Cost/primary enrollee 9,300 9,765 10,253 10,766 11,304 11,869 12,463 Cost/Lower Sec. enrollee 11,000 11,550 12,128 12,734 13,371 14,039 14,741 Cost/Upper Sec. enrollee 14,400 15,120 15,876 16,670 17,503 18,378 19,297 Total Lower Sec. (Million) 40,700 59,156 65,694 72,469 79,928 88,154 97,227 Total Upper Sec. (Million) 25,920 26,592 40,381 47,026 53,317 60,291 68,160 Increase Lower Sec. Cost 45% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% Increase Upper Sec. Cost 3% 52% 16% 13% 13% 13% 151
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