Educational Finance in Thailand - UNESCO Bangkok

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Table A2 – Parameters for Cost Projection Calculations Analysis Parameters Annual Increase in Primary Enrollment 1.0% Annual Increase in LS Partic. Rate 4.0% Annual Increase in US Partic. Rate 2.5% LS Repetition Rate 7.0% US Repetition Rate 10.0% LS Drop-out Rate 4.0% US Drop-out Rate 5.0% Inflation rate 5.0% b. To show the overall increases, two sets of projections are show in the Figures below. The first shows cost increases if the Government share of the costs remains unchanged. The second Figure shows the results of increasing the local government share from 1 per cent to 15 per cent over the projection period. In either case the overall increases are quite substantial. The overall expenditure increases in such a projection are sensitive to the assumptions about rates of change, however. Different rates of inflation or differing rates of enrollment increase or cost decreases can have a large effect on the actual cost figures. It is quite clear, nonetheless, that the increase in entitlement to basic education could produce a large increase in secondary school enrollments. This would, in turn generate substantial increases in overall costs for education and require adjustments in both overall budgets and revenue policies. The basic policy of expending basic education therefore will require considerable additional cost analysis and planning to avoid serious disruptions of the overall financing of education or negative impacts on quality. 152
Projected Cost Increases for Expanding Basic Education to 12 Years 180,000 160,000 Total Expenditure Estimates (Million Baht) 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 - 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total Lower Sec. (Million) Total Upper Sec. (Million) Projected Cost Increases for Expanding Basic Education to 12 Years With Local Government Sharing Total Expenditure Estimate (Million Baht) 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 - 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total Lower Sec. (Million) Total Upper Sec. (Million) Local Govt. Sharing 153
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- Volume II/3 - Educational Finance
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Table of Contents A. Executive Summ
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Table of Tables Table 1 Adjustments
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Figure 18 Figure 19 Figure 20 Figur
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Final Report, Volume II/3 Anthony.
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Page 109 and 110: Final Report, Volume II/3 Anthony.
Page 123 and 124: mission and operations. The term
Page 125 and 126: The information requirements for fi
Page 127 and 128: Table 1: Continued Dept. Flow of Re
Page 129 and 130: Table 1: Continued Dept. Flow of Re
Page 131 and 132: Description and assessment of compu
Page 133 and 134: Table 3: Existing computer systems
Page 135 and 136: Table 3: Continued Current existing
Page 137 and 138: Description of flows of financial i
Page 139 and 140: (teachers, facilities, etc) if data
Page 141 and 142: Table 4: Continued. Content of curr
Page 143 and 144: Table 5: Assessment of information
Page 145 and 146: An assessment of information system
Page 147 and 148: general administration, these syste
Page 149 and 150: Recommendation for IS Most involved
Page 151 and 152: 6. The nation wide implementation.
Page 153 and 154: References Office of the permanent
Page 155 and 156: Office of private education commiss
Page 157 and 158: Interviews 10 September 1998, 9:00-
Page 159: Appendix 2 Projections of Costs of
Page 163 and 164: Identification of Schools for Sampl
Page 165 and 166: 8. Please place an X in a box below
Page 167 and 168: enrollment as a whole growing at an
Page 169 and 170: Figure 1: Thailand’s Development
Page 171 and 172: Table 5: Crude transition rates of
Page 173 and 174: and level of education, 1993 and 19
Page 175 and 176: 2.31 Questionable quality of educat
Page 177 and 178: income inequality between agricultu
Page 179 and 180: 4.1.4. The percentages calculated f
Page 181 and 182: Table 11: Public and Private sector
Page 183 and 184: 4.3.8. As would be expected, unempl
Page 185 and 186: 5.7 The dilemma is to balance the s
Page 187 and 188: Table 14: Unemployment and Underemp
Page 189 and 190: there any activities that would be
Page 191 and 192: References Chalongphob Sussangkarn
Page 193 and 194: Appendix 6 BMA Voucher Policy A. Lo
Page 195 and 196: Appendix 7 Finance Allocation Metho
Page 197 and 198: Appendix 8 Program Structure of the
Page 199 and 200: Not all possible flows are show, si
Page 201 and 202: Appendix 11 Results of Regression A
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Educational Finance in Thailand - UNESCO Bangkok

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