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Educational Finance in Thailand - UNESCO Bangkok

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F<strong>in</strong>al Report, Volume II/3 Anthony. Cresswell: <strong>Educational</strong> <strong>F<strong>in</strong>ance</strong> <strong>UNESCO</strong>-PROAP TA 2996-THA<br />

Education Management and <strong>F<strong>in</strong>ance</strong> Study July 1999<br />

2.2.1. Adequacy of allocations to the education sector<br />

2.2.1.1. Education as a share of GDP<br />

a. The level of overall spend<strong>in</strong>g on education has been a relatively high<br />

proportion of the Government budget and of the overall level of economic<br />

activity as measured by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The pattern for<br />

the education share of the Government budget over the past 20 years is shown<br />

<strong>in</strong> Figure 9 below. Some substantial fluctuations <strong>in</strong> the education share of the<br />

budget are evident <strong>in</strong> this record. There appear to be three dist<strong>in</strong>ctive periods<br />

over this time span. The 1978-85 period shows a very stable percentage at<br />

roughly 20%. The period 1985-1990 shows a drop <strong>in</strong> the education share,<br />

down to less than 17 per cent <strong>in</strong> 1989. From 1991 to 1996 the share returns to<br />

a fairly stable 20 per cent for six years. This is followed by a sharp upturn <strong>in</strong><br />

1997 and 1998. Over this time span <strong>Thailand</strong>’s education share of the national<br />

budget has been equal to or above other Asian countries. But these<br />

fluctuations are large enough to require further attention.<br />

Figure 9 - Education as a per cent of the national budget, 1978-97<br />

Trends <strong>in</strong> the Thai Education Budget and GDP<br />

% of GDP<br />

4.5%<br />

4.0%<br />

3.5%<br />

3.0%<br />

2.5%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.5%<br />

1.0%<br />

0.5%<br />

0.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

% Change <strong>in</strong> GDP<br />

1978<br />

1980<br />

1982<br />

1984<br />

1986<br />

1988<br />

1990<br />

1992<br />

1994<br />

1996<br />

Ed. Budget as % GDP<br />

% Change <strong>in</strong> GDP<br />

b. When the share of education as a proportion of GDP is exam<strong>in</strong>ed over the same time<br />

period, possible causes for the shifts <strong>in</strong> the education share are evident. In Figure 10<br />

(below) education expenditures as a per cent of GDP are plotted along with changes <strong>in</strong><br />

the GDP. When viewed on the same plot, the two time series show clear counter-cyclical<br />

changes; when one goes up, the other goes down. One way to <strong>in</strong>terpret this pattern is that<br />

education represents such a large and important proportion of the budget, <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g so<br />

many people and <strong>in</strong>stitutions, that it can be changed only slowly. Therefore <strong>in</strong> time of<br />

slow<strong>in</strong>g economic growth, say 1980-85, the overall Government budget may shr<strong>in</strong>k, but<br />

51

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