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3.2 Effects <strong>of</strong> Migrant Remittances on PovertyA poverty line, z, is required in order to estimate the effects <strong>of</strong> changes inmigrant remittances on poverty. The poverty line we use is the per-capitaincome required to purchase a basic basket <strong>of</strong> food and nonfood itemsin rural areas. It was estimated by the Mexican government (SEDESOL)at 28.1 pesos per day, including 15.4 pesos for food, 3.5 for basic healthand education, and 9.8 for clothing, shelter, utilities, and transportation. 7Impoverished individuals are those who were living in households in whichthe per-capita income per day was less than 28.1 pesos. Table 6 reports theshare <strong>of</strong> the population living below the poverty line in each region and inall <strong>of</strong> rural Mexico in 2002. Overall, 53 percent <strong>of</strong> rural Mexicans live inhouseholds with per-capita incomes below the poverty line. The incidence<strong>of</strong> poverty ranges from 34 percent in the Northwest region to 77 percent inthe South-Southwest.To estimate the effect <strong>of</strong> migrant remittances on poverty, we first calculatedthe FGT poverty measure, using Equation 13, as well as the three alternativepoverty measures given above (the headcount, poverty gap, and squaredpoverty gap). We then decreased each <strong>of</strong> the two types <strong>of</strong> remittances,in turn, by 10 percent. Households that did not receive remittances areunaffected. The poverty effects <strong>of</strong> changes in remittances depend upon theextent to which remittances flow to poor (and, depending on the measure,very poor) households.116Table 6. Incidence <strong>of</strong> Rural Poverty, National and by Region in 2002 using the HeadcountMeasurePercentage <strong>of</strong> Rural Population in Impoverished HouseholdsUsing Poverty Line Constructed from Cost <strong>of</strong> Basic Basket <strong>of</strong>…RegionFoodFood, BasicHealth, andEducationFood, Basic Health,Education, Clothing,Shelter, Utilities andTransportationSouth–Southeast 0.62 0.69 0.81Center 0.36 0.45 0.63West–Center 0.30 0.36 0.52Northwest 0.20 0.25 0.35Northeast 0.38 0.43 0.58All Regions 0.38 0.44 0.587See http://www.sedesol.gob.mx/subsecretarias/prospectiva/medicion_pobreza

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