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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.....................................................................................................................................................................................Up<strong>on</strong> the closing of this transacti<strong>on</strong>, but effective as of January 1, 2011, we ceded the bulk of <strong>AIG</strong> PropertyCasualty’s net domestic asbestos liabilities to NICO under a retroactive reinsurance agreement with an aggregatelimit of $3.5 billi<strong>on</strong>. Within this aggregate limit, NICO assumed collecti<strong>on</strong> risk for existing third-party reinsurancerecoverable associated with these liabilities. <strong>AIG</strong> Property Casualty paid NICO approximately $1.67 billi<strong>on</strong> asc<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> for this cessi<strong>on</strong> and NICO assumed approximately $1.82 billi<strong>on</strong> of net U.S. asbestos liabilities. As aresult of this transacti<strong>on</strong>, <strong>AIG</strong> Property Casualty recorded a deferred gain of $150 milli<strong>on</strong> in the sec<strong>on</strong>d quarter of2011, which is being amortized into in<strong>com</strong>e over the settlement period of the underlying claims.The following table presents the estimate of the gross and net IBNR included in the Liability for unpaidclaims and claims adjustment expense, relating to asbestos and envir<strong>on</strong>mental claims:December 31,2012 2011 2010(in milli<strong>on</strong>s) Gross Net * Gross Net * Gross NetAsbestos $ 3,193 $ 37 $ 3,685 $ 239 $ 4,520 $ 1,964Envir<strong>on</strong>mental 75 35 57 28 93 38Combined $ 3,268 $ 72 $ 3,742 $ 267 $ 4,613 $ 2,002* Net IBNR includes the reducti<strong>on</strong> due to the NICO reinsurance transacti<strong>on</strong> of $1,310 milli<strong>on</strong> and $1,414 milli<strong>on</strong> as of December 31, 2012 and2011, respectively. A significant part of the reducti<strong>on</strong> in IBNR in 2012 is due to the reclassificati<strong>on</strong> of estimated liabilities <strong>on</strong> a retained account fromIBNR to case reserves.The following table presents a summary of asbestos and envir<strong>on</strong>mental claims count activity:As of or for the Years2012 2011 2010Ended December 31, Asbestos Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Combined Asbestos Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Combined Asbestos Envir<strong>on</strong>mental CombinedClaims at beginningof year 5,443 3,782 9,225 4,933 4,087 9,020 5,417 5,994 11,411Claims during year:Opened 226 222 448 141 207 348 502 354 856Settled (254) (179) (433) (183) (83) (266) (247) (125) (372)Dismissed orotherwiseresolved (a) (185) (2,211) (2,396) (289) (429) (718) (739) (2,136) (2,875)Other (b) – – – 841 – 841 – – –Claims at end ofyear 5,230 1,614 6,844 5,443 3,782 9,225 4,933 4,087 9,020(a) The number of envir<strong>on</strong>mental claims dismissed or otherwise resolved, increased substantially during 2012 as a result of <strong>AIG</strong> PropertyCasualty’s determinati<strong>on</strong> that certain methyl tertiary-butyl ether (MTBE) claims presented no further potential for exposure since these underlyingclaims were resolved through dismissal, settlement, or trial for all of the accounts involved. All of these accounts were fully reserved at the accountlevel and included adequate reserves for those underlying individual claims that c<strong>on</strong>tributed to the actual losses. These individual claim closings,therefore, had no impact <strong>on</strong> <strong>AIG</strong> Property Casualty’s envir<strong>on</strong>mental reserves.(b)Represents an administrative change to the method of determining the number of open claims, which had no effect <strong>on</strong> carried reserves.Survival Ratios – Asbestos and Envir<strong>on</strong>mentalThe following table presents <strong>AIG</strong>’s survival ratios for asbestos and envir<strong>on</strong>mental claims at December 31, 2012, 2011and 2010. The survival ratio is derived by dividing the current carried loss reserve by the average payments for thethree most recent calendar years for these claims. Therefore, the survival ratio is a simplistic measure estimating thenumber of years it would take before the current ending loss reserves for these claims would be paid off using recentyear average payments.Many factors, such as aggressive settlement procedures, mix of business and level of coverage provided, have asignificant effect <strong>on</strong> the amount of asbestos and envir<strong>on</strong>mental reserves and payments and the resulting survivalratio. Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, we primarily base our determinati<strong>on</strong> of these reserves based <strong>on</strong> ground-up and top-downanalyses, and not <strong>on</strong> survival ratios...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................98 <strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K

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