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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT.....................................................................................................................................................................................• whether the reinsurer is financially troubled (i.e., liquidated, insolvent, in receivership or otherwise subject to formalor informal regulatory restricti<strong>on</strong>);• whether collateral and collateral arrangements exist; and• the credit quality of the underlying reinsurer.We record adjustments to reflect the results of the detailed review through an allowance for uncollectablereinsurance. At December 31, 2012, the allowance for estimated unrecoverable reinsurance was $338 milli<strong>on</strong>. AtDecember 31, 2012, we had no significant general reinsurance recoverables due from any individual reinsurer thatwas financially troubled. In the current envir<strong>on</strong>ment of weaker ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and strained financial markets,certain reinsurers are reporting losses and could be subject to rating downgrades. Our reinsurance recoverableexposures are primarily to the regulated subsidiaries of such <strong>com</strong>panies which are subject to minimum regulatorycapital requirements. The RCD, in c<strong>on</strong>juncti<strong>on</strong> with the credit executives within ERM, reviews these developments,m<strong>on</strong>itors <strong>com</strong>pliance with credit triggers that may require the reinsurer to post collateral, and will seek to use otherappropriate means to mitigate any material risks arising from these developments. See Note 9 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidatedFinancial Statements for additi<strong>on</strong>al informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> reinsurance.<strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement Key Insurance Risks..............................................................................................................................................................................................For <strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement, the primary risks are the following:• Pricing risk – represents the potential exposure to loss if actual policy experience emerges adversely in<strong>com</strong>paris<strong>on</strong> to the assumpti<strong>on</strong>s made in product pricing. These assumpti<strong>on</strong>s include investment results, mortality,morbidity, surrenders, other observed policyholder behavior and expenses;• Investment risk – represents the exposure to loss if the cash flows from the invested assets are less thanrequired to meet the obligati<strong>on</strong>s of the expected policy and c<strong>on</strong>tract liabilities and the necessary return <strong>on</strong>investments;• Interest rate risk – represents the exposure to loss due to the sensitivity of the liabilities and assets to changes ininterest rates; and• Equity market risk – represents the potential exposure to higher claim costs for guaranteed benefits associatedwith variable annuities and the potential reducti<strong>on</strong> in expected fee revenue.<strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement manages these risks through product design, exposure limitati<strong>on</strong>s and active managementof the relati<strong>on</strong>ships between assets and liabilities. The emergence of significant adverse experience would require anadjustment to DAC and benefit reserves which could have a material adverse effect <strong>on</strong> our c<strong>on</strong>solidated results ofoperati<strong>on</strong>s for a particular period. For a further discussi<strong>on</strong> of this risk, see Item 1A. Risk Factors – Business andOperati<strong>on</strong>s.<strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement <strong>com</strong>panies generally limit their maximum underwriting exposure <strong>on</strong> life insurance of a singlelife to $15 milli<strong>on</strong> or less of coverage. In certain circumstances, this is achieved by using yearly renewable termreinsurance. For the <strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement <strong>com</strong>panies, the reinsurance programs provide risk mitigati<strong>on</strong> per life forindividuals and group and for catastrophic risk events.United Guaranty Corporati<strong>on</strong> Key Insurance Risks..............................................................................................................................................................................................For United Guaranty Corporati<strong>on</strong> (UGC), risks emanate primarily from the following:• Residential Housing Market risk – represents the potential exposure to loss due to borrower default <strong>on</strong> afirst-lien residential mortgage; the primary drivers of this risk are home price depreciati<strong>on</strong>, changes in theunemployment rate, changes in mortgage rates, and a borrower’s willingness to pay.• Pricing risk – represents the potential exposure to loss if actual policy experience emerges adversely in<strong>com</strong>paris<strong>on</strong> to the assumpti<strong>on</strong>s made in product pricing. This may be related to adverse ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s,prepayment of policies, investment results, and expenses;UGC manages the quality of the loans it insures through use of a proprietary risk quality index. UGC uses this indexto determine an insurability threshold as well as to manage the risk distributi<strong>on</strong> of its new business. Al<strong>on</strong>g withtraditi<strong>on</strong>al mortgage underwriting variables, UGC’s risk-based pricing model uses rating factors such as geographyand the quality of a lender’s originati<strong>on</strong> process to establish premium rates.UGC’s risk appetite statement establishes various c<strong>on</strong>centrati<strong>on</strong> limits <strong>on</strong> the business UGC insures (for example,geography), and defines underwriting characteristics for which UGC will not insure loans...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................170 <strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K

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