13.07.2015 Views

Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

ITEM 8 / NOTE 6. FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS.....................................................................................................................................................................................Sensitivity to Changes in Unobservable Inputs..............................................................................................................................................................................................We c<strong>on</strong>sider unobservable inputs to be those for which market data is not available and that are developed using thebest informati<strong>on</strong> available to us about the assumpti<strong>on</strong>s that market participants would use when pricing the asset orliability. Relevant inputs vary depending <strong>on</strong> the nature of the instrument being measured at fair value. The followingis a general descripti<strong>on</strong> of sensitivities of significant unobservable inputs al<strong>on</strong>g with interrelati<strong>on</strong>ships between andam<strong>on</strong>g the significant unobservable inputs and their impact <strong>on</strong> the fair value measurements. The effect of a changein a particular assumpti<strong>on</strong> in the sensitivity analysis below is c<strong>on</strong>sidered independently of changes in any otherassumpti<strong>on</strong>s. In practice, simultaneous changes in assumpti<strong>on</strong>s may not always have a linear effect <strong>on</strong> the inputsdiscussed below. Interrelati<strong>on</strong>ships may also exist between observable and unobservable inputs. Such relati<strong>on</strong>shipshave not been included in the discussi<strong>on</strong> below. For each of the individual relati<strong>on</strong>ships described below, the inverserelati<strong>on</strong>ship would also generally apply.Corporate Debt..............................................................................................................................................................................................Corporate debt securities included in Level 3 are primarily private placement issuances that are not traded in activemarkets or that are subject to transfer restricti<strong>on</strong>s. Fair value measurements c<strong>on</strong>sider illiquidity andn<strong>on</strong>-transferability. When observable price quotati<strong>on</strong>s are not available, fair value is determined based <strong>on</strong> discountedcash flow models using discount rates based <strong>on</strong> credit spreads, yields or price levels of publicly-traded debt of theissuer or other <strong>com</strong>parable securities, c<strong>on</strong>sidering illiquidity and structure. The significant unobservable input used inthe fair value measurement of corporate debt is the yield. The yield is affected by the market movements in creditspreads and U.S. Treasury yields. In additi<strong>on</strong>, the migrati<strong>on</strong> in credit quality of a given security generally has acorresp<strong>on</strong>ding effect <strong>on</strong> the fair value measurement of the securities. For example, a downward migrati<strong>on</strong> of creditquality would increase spreads. Holding U.S. Treasury rates c<strong>on</strong>stant, an increase in corporate credit spreads woulddecrease the fair value of corporate debt.RMBS and Certain CDO/ABS..............................................................................................................................................................................................The significant unobservable inputs used in fair value measurements of RMBS and certain CDO/ABS valued by thirdpartyvaluati<strong>on</strong> service providers are c<strong>on</strong>stant prepayment rates (CPR), c<strong>on</strong>stant default rates (CDR), loss severity,and yield. A change in the assumpti<strong>on</strong>s used for the probability of default will generally be ac<strong>com</strong>panied by acorresp<strong>on</strong>ding change in the assumpti<strong>on</strong> used for the loss severity and an inverse change in the assumpti<strong>on</strong> used forprepayment rates. In general, increases in yield, CPR, CDR, and loss severity, in isolati<strong>on</strong>, would result in adecrease in the fair value measurement. Changes in fair value based <strong>on</strong> variati<strong>on</strong>s in assumpti<strong>on</strong>s generally cannotbe extrapolated because the relati<strong>on</strong>ship between the directi<strong>on</strong>al change of each input is not usually linear.CMBS ..............................................................................................................................................................................................The significant unobservable input used in fair value measurements for CMBS is the yield. Prepayment assumpti<strong>on</strong>sfor each mortgage pool are factored into the yield. CMBS generally feature a lower degree of prepayment risk thanRMBS because <strong>com</strong>mercial mortgages generally c<strong>on</strong>tain a penalty for prepayment. In general, increases in the yieldwould decrease the fair value of CMBS.CDO/ABS – Direct Investment book..............................................................................................................................................................................................The significant unobservable inputs used for certain CDO/ABS securities valued using the BET are recovery rates,diversity score, and the weighted average life of the portfolio. An increase in recovery rates and diversity score willhave a directi<strong>on</strong>ally similar corresp<strong>on</strong>ding impact <strong>on</strong> the fair value of the portfolio. An increase in the weightedaverage life will decrease the fair value.Policyholder c<strong>on</strong>tract deposits..............................................................................................................................................................................................The significant unobservable inputs used for embedded derivatives in policyholder c<strong>on</strong>tract deposits measured at fairvalue, mainly guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits (GMWB) for variable annuity products, are equity volatility,mortality rates, lapse rates and utilizati<strong>on</strong> rates. Mortality, lapse and utilizati<strong>on</strong> rates may vary significantly depending..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................<strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K 247

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!