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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES.....................................................................................................................................................................................Class of Business or Category and Actuarial MethodApplicati<strong>on</strong> of Actuarial MethodProfessi<strong>on</strong>al LiabilityWe generally use a <strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> of loss development methodsand expected loss ratio methods for professi<strong>on</strong>al liabilityclasses of business.Frequency/severity methods are used in pricing andprofitability analyses for some classes of professi<strong>on</strong>al liability;however, for loss reserve adequacy testing, the need toensure sufficient credibility generally results in segmentati<strong>on</strong>sthat are not sufficiently homogenous to utilize frequency/severity methods.Loss development methods are used for the more matureaccident years. Greater weight is given to expected loss ratiomethods in the more recent accident years. Reserves aretested separately for claims made classes and classes written<strong>on</strong> occurrence policy forms. Further segmentati<strong>on</strong>s are madein a manner believed to provide an appropriate balancebetween credibility and homogeneity of the data.We also use claim department projecti<strong>on</strong>s of the ultimatevalue of each reported claim to supplement and inform thestandard actuarial approaches......................................................................................................................................................................................................................Catastrophic CasualtyWe use expected loss ratio methods for all accident years for The expected loss ratios and loss development assumpti<strong>on</strong>scatastrophic casualty business. This class of businessused are based up<strong>on</strong> the results of prior accident years forc<strong>on</strong>sists of casualty or financial lines coverage that attach in this business as well as for similar classes of business writtenexcess of very high attachment points; thus the claimsabove lower attachment points. The business can be writtenexperience is marked by very low frequency and high severity. <strong>on</strong> a claims-made or occurrence basis. We use ground-upBecause of the limited number of claims, loss development claim projecti<strong>on</strong>s provided by our claims staff to assist inmethods are not used.developing the appropriate reserve......................................................................................................................................................................................................................Aviati<strong>on</strong>We generally use a <strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> of loss development methods Expected loss ratio methods are used to determine the lossand expected loss ratio methods for aviati<strong>on</strong> exposures.reserves for the latest accident year.Aviati<strong>on</strong> claims are not very l<strong>on</strong>g-tail in nature; however, theyare driven by claim severity. Thus a <strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> of bothdevelopment and expected loss ratio methods are used for allbut the latest accident year to determine the loss reserves.Frequency/severity methods are not employed due to the highseverity nature of the claims and different mix of claims fromyear to year......................................................................................................................................................................................................................Pers<strong>on</strong>al AutoWe generally use frequency/severity methods and lossFor many classes of business, greater reliance is placed <strong>on</strong>development methods for domestic pers<strong>on</strong>al auto classes. frequency/severity methods as claim counts emerge quicklyfor pers<strong>on</strong>al auto and allow for more immediate analysis ofresulting loss trends and <strong>com</strong>paris<strong>on</strong>s to industry and otherdiagnostic metrics......................................................................................................................................................................................................................Fidelity/SuretyWe generally use loss development methods for fidelityExpected loss ratio methods are also given weight for theexposures for all but the latest accident year. For suretymore recent accident years. For the latest accident year theyexposures, we generally use the same method as for short-tail may be given 100 percent weight.classes (discussed below)........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................<strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K 183

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