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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 1A / RISK FACTORS.....................................................................................................................................................................................We regularly review DAC for insurance-oriented, investment-oriented, and retirement services products to assessrecoverability. This review involves estimating the future profitability of in-force business and requires significantmanagement judgment. If future profitability is substantially lower than estimated, we could be required to accelerateDAC amortizati<strong>on</strong>.Periodically, we evaluate the estimates used in establishing liabilities for future policy benefits for life and A&Hinsurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts, which include liabilities for certain payout annuities. We evaluate these estimates against actualexperience and make adjustments based <strong>on</strong> judgments about mortality, morbidity, persistency, maintenanceexpenses, and investment returns, including the interest rate envir<strong>on</strong>ment and net realized capital gains (losses). Ifactual experience or estimates result in changes to projected future losses <strong>on</strong> l<strong>on</strong>g durati<strong>on</strong> insurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts, wemay be required to record additi<strong>on</strong>al liabilities through a charge to policyholder benefit expense, which couldnegatively affect our results of operati<strong>on</strong>s. For further discussi<strong>on</strong> of DAC and future policy benefits, see Item 7.MD&A – Critical Accounting Estimates and Notes 2, 10 and 13 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidated Financial Statements.Certain of our products offer guarantees that may decrease our earnings and increase the volatility of ourresults. We offer variable annuity products that guarantee a certain level of benefits, such as guaranteed minimumdeath benefits (GMDB), guaranteed minimum in<strong>com</strong>e benefits (GMIB), guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits(GMWB) and guaranteed minimum account value benefits (GMAV). At December 31, 2012, our net liabilitiesassociated with these guaranteed benefits were $1.4 billi<strong>on</strong>. We use reinsurance <strong>com</strong>bined with derivativeinstruments to mitigate our exposure to these liabilities. While we believe that our acti<strong>on</strong>s have mitigated the risksrelated to guaranteed benefits, our exposure is not fully hedged; in additi<strong>on</strong>, we remain liable if reinsurers orcounterparties are unable or unwilling to pay. Finally, downturns in equity markets, increased equity volatility orreduced interest rates could result in an increase in the liabilities associated with the guaranteed benefits, reducingour net in<strong>com</strong>e and shareholders’ equity.Indemnity claims could be made against us in c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> with divested businesses. We have providedfinancial guarantees and indemnities in c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> with the businesses we have sold, including ALICO, as describedin greater detail in Note 16 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidated Financial Statements. While we do not currently believe the claimsunder these indemnities will be material, it is possible that significant indemnity claims could be made against us. Ifsuch a claim or claims were successful, it could have a material adverse effect <strong>on</strong> our results of operati<strong>on</strong>s, cashflows and liquidity. See Note 16 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidated Financial Statements for more informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> these financialguarantees and indemnities.Our foreign operati<strong>on</strong>s expose us to risks that may affect our operati<strong>on</strong>s. We provide insurance, investmentand other financial products and services to both businesses and individuals in more than 130 countries. Asubstantial porti<strong>on</strong> of our <strong>AIG</strong> Property Casualty business is c<strong>on</strong>ducted outside the United States, and we intend toc<strong>on</strong>tinue to grow this business. Operati<strong>on</strong>s outside the United States, particularly in developing nati<strong>on</strong>s, may beaffected by regi<strong>on</strong>al ec<strong>on</strong>omic downturns, changes in foreign currency exchange rates, political upheaval,nati<strong>on</strong>alizati<strong>on</strong> and other restrictive government acti<strong>on</strong>s, which could also affect our other operati<strong>on</strong>s.The degree of regulati<strong>on</strong> and supervisi<strong>on</strong> in foreign jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s varies. Generally, <strong>AIG</strong> Parent, as well as itssubsidiaries operating in such jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s, must satisfy local regulatory requirements. Licenses issued by foreignauthorities to our subsidiaries are subject to modificati<strong>on</strong> and revocati<strong>on</strong>. C<strong>on</strong>sequently, our insurance subsidiariescould be prevented from c<strong>on</strong>ducting future business in some of the jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>s where they currently operate.Adverse acti<strong>on</strong>s from any single country could adversely affect our results of operati<strong>on</strong>s depending <strong>on</strong> the magnitudeof the event and our financial exposure at that time in that country.Significant c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s precedent must be satisfied in order to <strong>com</strong>plete the sale of the <strong>com</strong>m<strong>on</strong> stock ofILFC <strong>on</strong> the agreed terms. Under the terms of the share purchase agreement (Share Purchase Agreement) weentered into for the sale of up to 90% of the <strong>com</strong>m<strong>on</strong> stock of ILFC (the ILFC Transacti<strong>on</strong>) to an entity (thePurchaser) formed <strong>on</strong> behalf of an investor group, c<strong>on</strong>summati<strong>on</strong> of the ILFC Transacti<strong>on</strong> is subject to thesatisfacti<strong>on</strong> or waiver of a number of c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s precedent, such as certain customary c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and other closingc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, including the receipt of approvals or n<strong>on</strong>-disapprovals from certain regulatory bodies, including, am<strong>on</strong>gothers:• the People’s Republic of China Nati<strong>on</strong>al Development and Reform Commissi<strong>on</strong>,• the Committee <strong>on</strong> Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), and• other antitrust and regulatory agencies,..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................36 <strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K

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