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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES.....................................................................................................................................................................................For a further discussi<strong>on</strong> of the risks of <strong>AIG</strong>’s unhedged exposures, see Item 1A. – Risk Factors – Business andOperati<strong>on</strong>s.Estimated Gross Profits for Interest-Sensitive Products (<strong>AIG</strong> Life and Retirement)..............................................................................................................................................................................................Estimated gross profits (EGP) are subject to differing market returns and interest rate envir<strong>on</strong>ments in any singleperiod. EGP is <strong>com</strong>posed of net investment in<strong>com</strong>e, net realized investment gains and losses, fees, surrendercharges, expenses, and mortality and morbidity gains and losses. When assumpti<strong>on</strong>s are changed, the percentage ofEGP used to amortize DAC may also change.The following table summarizes the sensitivity of changes in certain assumpti<strong>on</strong>s in the amortizati<strong>on</strong> of DAC/SIA, guaranteed benefits reserve and unearned revenue liability and the related hypothetical impact <strong>on</strong>year-end 2012 balances. The effect of changes in the equity markets, volatility and interest rates primarilyimpacts individual variable annuities (SunAmerica Retirement Markets) and group retirement products(VALIC). The effect of changes in mortality primarily impacts the universal life insurance business.Guaranteed Unearned NetDecember 31, 2012 Benefits Revenue Pre-Tax(in milli<strong>on</strong>s) DAC/SIA Reserve Liability EarningsAssumpti<strong>on</strong>s:Equity Return (a)Effect of an increase by 1% $ 67 $ – $ (23) $ 90Effect of a decrease by 1% (67) – 54 (121)Volatility (b)Effect of an increase by 1% (10) 1 2 (13)Effect of a decrease by 1% 9 (1) (2) 12Interest Rate (c)Effect of an increase by 10 basis points 9 1 – 8Effect of a decrease by 10 basis points (9) (1) – (8)MortalityEffect of an increase by 1% (15) (6) 13 (22)Effect of a decrease by 1% 13 5 (13) 21(a) Represents the net impact of 1 percent increase or decrease in l<strong>on</strong>g-term equity returns for GMDB and GMIB reserves and negligible netimpact of 1 percent increase or decrease in the S&P 500 index for living benefit reserves.(b)Represents the net impact of 1 percentage point increase or decrease in implied volatility.(c)Represents the net impact of a 10 basis point parallel shift in the yield curve. Does not represent interest rate spread <strong>com</strong>pressi<strong>on</strong>.The analysis of DAC, guaranteed benefits reserve and unearned revenue liability is a dynamic process that c<strong>on</strong>sidersall relevant factors and assumpti<strong>on</strong>s described above. We estimate each of the above factors individually, without theeffect of any correlati<strong>on</strong> am<strong>on</strong>g the key assumpti<strong>on</strong>s. An assessment of sensitivity associated with changes in anysingle assumpti<strong>on</strong> would not necessarily be an indicator of future results.Other-Than-Temporary Impairments <strong>on</strong> Available For Sale Securities..............................................................................................................................................................................................At each balance sheet date, we evaluate our available for sale securities holdings with unrealized losses.See the discussi<strong>on</strong> in Note 7 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidated Financial Statements for additi<strong>on</strong>al informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> the methodologyand significant inputs, by security type, that we use to determine the amount of other-than-temporary impairment <strong>on</strong>fixed maturity and equity securities.Goodwill Impairment..............................................................................................................................................................................................For a discussi<strong>on</strong> of goodwill impairment, see Note 2 to the C<strong>on</strong>solidated Financial Statements...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................<strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K 191

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