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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES.....................................................................................................................................................................................Class of Business or Category and Actuarial MethodApplicati<strong>on</strong> of Actuarial MethodD&O and Related Management Liability Classes of BusinessWe generally use a <strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> of loss development methods Expected loss ratio methods are given more weight in the twoand expected loss ratio methods for D&O and relatedmost recent accident years, whereas loss developmentmanagement liability classes of business.methods are given more weight in more mature accidentyears. For the year-end 2012 loss reserve review, claimsFrequency/severity methods are generally not used in isolati<strong>on</strong>projecti<strong>on</strong>s for accident years 2011 and prior were used.for these classes as the overall losses are driven by largeThese classes of business reflect claims made coverage, andlosses more than by claim frequency. Severity trends havelosses are characterized by low frequency and high severity.varied significantly from accident year to accident year andcare is required in analyzing these trends by claim type. Wealso give weight to claim department ground-up projecti<strong>on</strong>s ofultimate loss <strong>on</strong> a claim by claim basis as these may be morepredictive of ultimate loss values especially for older accidentyears......................................................................................................................................................................................................................Workers’ Compensati<strong>on</strong>We generally use a <strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> of loss development methods Expected loss ratio methods generally are given significantand expected loss ratio methods for workers’ <strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong>. weight <strong>on</strong>ly in the most recent accident year. Workers’We segment the data by state and industry class to the extent <strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong> claims are generally characterized by highthat meaningful differences are determined to exist.frequency, low severity, and relatively c<strong>on</strong>sistent lossdevelopment from <strong>on</strong>e accident year to the next. Wehistorically have been a leading writer of workers’<strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong>, and thus have sufficient volume of claimsexperience to use development methods. We generallysegregate California business from other business inevaluating workers’ <strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong> reserves. In 2012, wesegmented out New York from the other states to reflect itsdifferent development pattern and changing percentage of themix by state. We also revised our assumpti<strong>on</strong>s to reflectchanges in our claims management activities. Certain classesof workers’ <strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong>, such as c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, are alsoevaluated separately. Additi<strong>on</strong>ally, we write a number of verylarge accounts which include workers’ <strong>com</strong>pensati<strong>on</strong>coverage. These accounts are generally priced by ouractuaries, and to the extent appropriate, the indicated lossesbased <strong>on</strong> the pricing analysis may be used to record the initialestimated loss reserves for these accounts........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................180 <strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K

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