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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 1A / RISK FACTORS.....................................................................................................................................................................................ITEM 1A / RISK FACTORS..............................................................................................................................................................................................Investing in <strong>AIG</strong> involves risk. In deciding whether to invest in <strong>AIG</strong>, you should carefully c<strong>on</strong>sider the following riskfactors. Any of these risk factors could have a significant or material adverse effect <strong>on</strong> our businesses, results ofoperati<strong>on</strong>s, financial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> or liquidity. They could also cause significant fluctuati<strong>on</strong>s and volatility in the tradingprice of our securities. Readers should not c<strong>on</strong>sider any descripti<strong>on</strong>s of these factors to be a <strong>com</strong>plete set of allpotential risks that could affect <strong>AIG</strong>. These factors should be c<strong>on</strong>sidered carefully together with the other informati<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>tained in this report and the other reports and materials filed by us with the Securities and Exchange Commissi<strong>on</strong>(SEC). Further, many of these risks are interrelated and could occur under similar business and ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s,and the occurrence of certain of them may in turn cause the emergence or exacerbate the effect of others. Such a<strong>com</strong>binati<strong>on</strong> could materially increase the severity of the impact of these risks <strong>on</strong> our results of operati<strong>on</strong>s, liquidityand financial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>.MARKET CONDITIONS..............................................................................................................................................................................................Difficult c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s in the global capital markets and the ec<strong>on</strong>omy may materially and adversely affect ourbusinesses, results of operati<strong>on</strong>s, financial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> and liquidity. Our businesses are highly dependent <strong>on</strong> theec<strong>on</strong>omic envir<strong>on</strong>ment, both in the U.S. and around the world. C<strong>on</strong>cerns over c<strong>on</strong>tinued high domesticunemployment, weakness in the U.S. housing and <strong>com</strong>mercial real estate markets, the ability of the U.S. governmentto rein in the U.S. deficit, address the federal debt ceiling and reduce spending, and the European Uni<strong>on</strong>’s ability toresolve its debt crisis, am<strong>on</strong>g other issues, have c<strong>on</strong>tributed to increased volatility and reduced expectati<strong>on</strong>s for theec<strong>on</strong>omy and the markets in the near term. Extreme prol<strong>on</strong>ged market events, such as the global financial crisisduring 2008 and 2009, have at times led, and could in the future lead, to a lack of liquidity, highly volatile markets, asteep depreciati<strong>on</strong> in asset values across all classes, an erosi<strong>on</strong> of investor and public c<strong>on</strong>fidence, and a widening ofcredit spreads. Difficult ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s could also result in increased unemployment and a severe decline inbusiness across a wide range of industries and regi<strong>on</strong>s. These market and ec<strong>on</strong>omic factors could have a materialadverse effect <strong>on</strong> our businesses, results of operati<strong>on</strong>s, financial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> and liquidity.Under difficult ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, we could experience reduced demand for our financial and insurance productsand an elevated incidence of claims and lapses or surrenders of policies. C<strong>on</strong>tract holders may choose to defer orcease paying insurance premiums. Other ways in which we could be negatively affected by ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s,include, but are not limited to:• declines in the valuati<strong>on</strong> and performance of our investment portfolio, including declines attributable to rapidincreases in rates;• increased credit losses;• declines in the value of other assets;• impairments of goodwill and other l<strong>on</strong>g-lived assets;• additi<strong>on</strong>al statutory capital requirements;• limitati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> our ability to recover deferred tax assets;• a decline in new business levels and renewals;• a decline in insured values caused by a decrease in activity at client organizati<strong>on</strong>s;• an increase in liability for future policy benefits due to loss recogniti<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> certain l<strong>on</strong>g-durati<strong>on</strong> insurance c<strong>on</strong>tracts;• higher borrowing costs and more limited availability of credit;• an increase in policy surrenders and cancellati<strong>on</strong>s; and• a write-off of deferred policy acquisiti<strong>on</strong> costs (DAC).Sustained low interest rates may materially and adversely affect our profitability. Sustained low interest ratescan negatively affect the performance of our investment securities and reduce the level of investment in<strong>com</strong>e earned<strong>on</strong> our investment portfolios. If a low interest rate envir<strong>on</strong>ment persists, we may experience slower investment..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................32 <strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K

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