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Bring on tomorrow - AIG.com

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ITEM 7 / ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT.....................................................................................................................................................................................• Foreign currency exchange rates. We are a globally diversified enterprise with significant in<strong>com</strong>e, assets andliabilities denominated in, and significant capital deployed in, a variety of currencies.We use a number of measures and approaches to measure and quantify our market riskexposure, including:• Durati<strong>on</strong>/key rate durati<strong>on</strong>.Durati<strong>on</strong> is the measure of the sensitivities of a fixed-in<strong>com</strong>e instrument to thechanges in the benchmark yield curve. Key rate durati<strong>on</strong> measures sensitivities to the movement at a given termpoint <strong>on</strong> the yield curve.• Scenario analysis. asScenario analysis uses historical, hypothetical, or forward-looking macroec<strong>on</strong>omic scenariosto assess and report exposures. Examples of hypothetical scenarios include a 100 basis point parallel shift in theyield curve or a 10 percent immediate and simultaneous decrease in world-wide equity markets.• Stress testing.tiStress testing is a special form of scenario analysis in which the scenarios are designed to leadto a material adverse out<strong>com</strong>e. Examples of such scenarios include the stock market crash of October 1987 orthe widening of yields or spread of RMBS or CMBS during 2008.• VaR. VaR is a summary statistical measure that uses the estimated volatility and correlati<strong>on</strong> of market factors,and a management-determined level of c<strong>on</strong>fidence, to estimate how frequently a portfolio of risk exposures couldbe expected to lose at least a specified amount...............................................................................................................................................................................................Insurance Operati<strong>on</strong>s Portfolio SensitivitiesThe following table provides estimates of our sensitivity to changes in yield curves, equity prices andforeign currency exchange rates:ExposureEffectDecember 31, December 31, December 31, December 31,(dollars in milli<strong>on</strong>s) 2012 2011 * Sensitivity Factor 2012 2011Yield sensitive assets $ 305,809 $ 326,200 100 bps parallel increase in all yield curves $ (16,005) $ (15,800)Equity and alternative20% decline in stock prices and value ofinvestments exposure $ 27,131 $ 39,000 alternative investments $ (5,426) $ (7,800)Foreign currency10% depreciati<strong>on</strong> of all foreign currencyexchange rates net exchange rates against the U.S. dollar $ (911) $ (590)exposure $ 9,106 $ 5,900Exposures to yield curve movements include fixed maturity securities, loans, finance receivables and short-terminvestments, but exclude c<strong>on</strong>solidated separate account assets. Total yield-sensitive assets decreased 6.2 percent orapproximately $20.4 billi<strong>on</strong> <strong>com</strong>pared to 2011, primarily due to a net decrease in fixed in<strong>com</strong>e securities and otherfixed assets of $15.6 billi<strong>on</strong>, and a decrease in cash equivalents of $4.8 billi<strong>on</strong>.Exposures to equity and alternative investment prices include investments in <strong>com</strong>m<strong>on</strong> stock, preferred stocks, mutualfunds, hedge funds, private equity funds, <strong>com</strong>mercial real estate and real estate funds, but exclude c<strong>on</strong>solidatedseparate account assets. Total exposure in these areas decreased 30.3 percent or approximately $11.8 billi<strong>on</strong> in2012 <strong>com</strong>pared to 2011. This was primarily due to a decrease of $12.4 billi<strong>on</strong> related to our sale of AIA equitysecurities as well as decreases in mutual fund values of $129 milli<strong>on</strong> and other equity investments of $18 milli<strong>on</strong>.The decrease was partially offset by increases in other <strong>com</strong>m<strong>on</strong> equity securities of $125 milli<strong>on</strong>, partnership valuesof $197 milli<strong>on</strong> and real estate investments of $397 milli<strong>on</strong>.Exposures to foreign currency exchange rates reflect our c<strong>on</strong>solidated n<strong>on</strong>-U.S. dollar net capital investments <strong>on</strong> aGAAP basis. Foreign currency exchange rates net exposure increased 53.7 percent or $3.2 billi<strong>on</strong> in 2012 <strong>com</strong>paredto 2011. This was primarily due to an increase in British pound exposure of $1.7 billi<strong>on</strong> as a result of <strong>AIG</strong> Europe’sforeign currency exchange hedging and investment strategy, an increase in market value of fixed maturity securitiesof $188 milli<strong>on</strong> as well as unrealized investment appreciati<strong>on</strong> and positive results from <strong>AIG</strong> Europe Ltd operati<strong>on</strong>s of$99 milli<strong>on</strong>. Other increases included: changes in Canadian-dollar denominated unearned premium reserves of..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................<strong>AIG</strong> 2012 Form 10-K 163

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