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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

Report - The American Presidency Project

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lowest point in <strong>the</strong> post-World War II period. With this high level <strong>of</strong>unused economic capacity, inflationary pressures subsided.The inflation rate fell dramatically in 1982 to its lowest level in adecade. The upward trend in inflation from 1976 through 1980streng<strong>the</strong>ned <strong>the</strong> Federal Reserve's determination to slow <strong>the</strong> growthin <strong>the</strong> monetary aggregates and contributed to high interest rates foran extended period. By mid-1982, when evidence <strong>of</strong> progress againstinflation and continued weakness in economic activity became clear,interest rates began to fall sharply. The ensuing decline reduced interestrates to <strong>the</strong>ir lowest levels in more than 2 years, as illustratedin Chart 6-1.Chart 6-1PERCENT PER YEAR22Interest Rates2018PRIME RATE16141978 1979 1980 1981 1982SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND BOARD OF GOVERNORSOF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.The decline in interest rates brought much-needed relief to <strong>the</strong> interest-sensitive,cyclical sectors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> economy. By <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> 1982,clear progress toward recovery had been made, as reflected in continuinggains in <strong>the</strong> composite index <strong>of</strong> leading indicators <strong>of</strong> economicactivity, as shown in Chart 6-2.125

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