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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

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ers. As <strong>the</strong> fastest growing and second largest market economy,Japan has a responsibility to help sustain <strong>the</strong> open trading system. Amajor trade liberalization by Japan would do much to relieve <strong>the</strong> politicalstrains on that system, while <strong>the</strong> failure <strong>of</strong> Japan to make morethan token concessions would intensify <strong>the</strong>m.TABLE 3-3.—Trade balances by region as percent <strong>of</strong> GDP, United States and Japan, 1980[Percent <strong>of</strong> GDP]Industrial countriesOil-exporting countries..Non-oil developing countries..,Source: International Monetary Fund.UnitedStates0.23= 1.45.52Japan1.92-3.201.46THE PROBLEM OF UNCOMPETITIVE SECTORSAnalysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall U.S. trade deficit and <strong>the</strong> bilateral deficitwith Japan suggests that worries about U.S. competitiveness arebased in part on a misunderstanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> situation. There is noquestion, however, that increased foreign competition has forcedsome sectors <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. economy to contract.This is partly a consequence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fact that trade has becomemore important to <strong>the</strong> U.S. economy. Specialization by nations is <strong>the</strong>reason for international trade. If <strong>the</strong> United States is to expand itstrade, <strong>the</strong> U.S. economy must become more specialized. This meansthat some sectors will grow and o<strong>the</strong>rs will shrink. During <strong>the</strong> 1970s<strong>the</strong> United States developed increasing surpluses in areas in which italready enjoyed a comparative advantage and developed increasingdeficits in sectors in which it was at a disadvantage. Some illustrativenumbers are given in Table 3-4.TABLE 3-4.—U.S. trade balances by sector as percent <strong>of</strong> GDP, 1972-79[Percent <strong>of</strong> GDP]Item 1972 1979U.S. comparative advantage:Research-intensive manufactures.,Resource-intensive products, o<strong>the</strong>r than fuels..Invisibles (services and investment income)....U.S. comparative disadvantage:Nonresearch-intensive manufactures..Fuels0.93.06.40-1.27-.271.63.671.44-1.44=2.41Sources: International Monetary Fund, National Science Board, and Organization for <strong>Economic</strong> Cooperation and Development.Specialization <strong>of</strong> this kind is desirable both for <strong>the</strong> United Statesand for its trading partners. Specialization and trade raise <strong>the</strong> efficiency<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world economy as a whole by allowing each country to58

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