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Security and Defense Studies Review - Offnews.info

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of the EPP so far, is the relative lack of bloodshed. It seems that less than a dozen people, includingpolice officers <strong>and</strong> Cecilia Cubas, have been wounded or killed during the course of the last six yearsof the group’s actions. Cubas was probably only killed on the orders of a Colombian adviser, acommon practice in that country, but not in Paraguay. The dearth of killing seems deliberate to avoidalienating the EPP’s mass base, <strong>and</strong> it is the existence of this mass base that makes the EPP dangerousto the Paraguayan state. So far the state has responded by sending contingents of policemen <strong>and</strong>soldiers to cordon off <strong>and</strong> search rural areas in San Pedro <strong>and</strong> Concepcion. These operations appearto have produced little result. Probably more effective results could be obtained by addressing boththe short-term <strong>and</strong> long-term grievances of the EPP’s mass base. If the state can undermine thismass base <strong>and</strong> effectively isolate the guerrillas from the people, they will st<strong>and</strong> a much better chanceof defeating the EPP. However, if they fail to do this, the EPP will continue to grow <strong>and</strong> become amuch greater challenge to the state. Since the EPP appear to be fairly small, the opportunity is now.However, this is not an easy task, as the EPP has a twenty-year head start <strong>and</strong> a degree of legitimacyamong this population.114<strong>Security</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Defense</strong> <strong>Studies</strong> <strong>Review</strong> 2009/Edición 2009/ Edicão 2009/ Volume 9, Issues 1 & 2

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