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large percentage of non-infected workers will not stay away from work because the economic costof such an action will be quite onerous to households. This action is expected to impact positivelyon the attack rate.Table I:Sectoral Output, Employment and Attack RateSector 2007 Output 2007 Employment Projected AttackRateMillion ($) 000's %Goods-Producing sector 85296 402.6Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 13316 207 10.00%Mining 13823 8.2 15.00%Manufacturing 31528 69.4 25.00%Construction And Installation 26629 118 10.00%Services Sector 179224 732.2Transport, Storage andCommunicationFinancing, Insurance, Real Estateand Business ServicesCommunity, Social and PersonalServices35552 78.6 30.00%36832 66.8 25.00%23947 317.2 10.00%Electricity Gas and Water 10272 7.7 10.00%Wholesale and Retail, Hotels andRestaurant services72621 261.9 25.00%Industry Not Specified 23722 2.2 10.00%Total 288242.00 1137 17.78%Economic ImpactThe study projects that approximately 189.3 (000) persons or approximately 16.7% of the labourforce will be affected by the influenza pandemic (see, Table II). This total excludes those among theunemployed, plus the unemployed not seeking work, pensioners and children both in primary andsecondary schools, as well as full-time students in all tertiary institutions. As expected the servicesectors will account for more than 73% of the sick work force, with “Wholesale and retail, hotelsand restaurants” (65.4)000, “Community, social and personal services” (31.7)000 and “Transport,storage and communication” (23.5)000, accounting for the highest levels of affected persons notonly among the service sectors but across all sectors throughout the economy. Among the goodsproducingsectors, “Agriculture, forestry and fishing” stands out with 20.7(000) workers. Overallthree of the ten sectors will be the least impacted with sick workers: “Industry not specified”(0.22)000“Electricity, gas and water” with (0.77)000 and “Mining” with (1.23)000 sick workers.The percentage among the security forces is expected to be disproportionately high as a result ofthe barracking of personnel and, if they are not vaccinated, it is expected to be close to 30 percent.The loss in man hours is projected to be 15.1 million overall. The distribution profile of manhour losses is identical to that of the affected workers with the service sectors, once again, carryingthe brunt of the impact, accounting for 65% of all man-hour losses. “Wholesale and retail, hotelSecurity and Defense Studies Review 2009/Edición 2009/ Edicão 2009/ Volume 9, Issues 1 & 2 83