Sicherheit in Autobahn- und Strassentunneln - Fonds für ...
Sicherheit in Autobahn- und Strassentunneln - Fonds für ...
Sicherheit in Autobahn- und Strassentunneln - Fonds für ...
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84 Zusammenfassung / Résumé / Riassunto / Abstract<br />
In fact, the accident figures only <strong>in</strong>crease by a factor of 1.68 (=2-0.32) and the number of<br />
casualties by a factor of 1.80 (=2-0.20).<br />
The ADT <strong>in</strong>fluences shown <strong>in</strong> Table Z.1 are adjusted for exposure, which means that the effects<br />
calculated are attributable to traffic density. An <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> traffic density <strong>in</strong>creases the risk of<br />
collisions and the risk that persons will be <strong>in</strong>jured. To put it another way - the results mean that<br />
an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> ADT will lead to a disproportionate rise <strong>in</strong> accidents and casualties. Thus, twice<br />
the amount of ADT will not result <strong>in</strong> twice the number of accidents but will lead to an <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
<strong>in</strong> accident figures by a factor of 2.77 (=2+0.77) or to an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the number of casualties by<br />
a factor of 2.38 (=2+0.38).<br />
Roughly speak<strong>in</strong>g, when compared with s<strong>in</strong>gle tunnels with bi-directional traffic, tw<strong>in</strong> tunnels<br />
have half the risk of accident and casualties. However, the fact that any extra traffic can have<br />
negative repercussions should be taken <strong>in</strong>to account.<br />
The proportion of heavy goods vehicles <strong>in</strong> ADT merely has a marg<strong>in</strong>ally significant <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />
on the risk of <strong>in</strong>juries but not on the risk of accidents. This difference po<strong>in</strong>ts to the fact that a<br />
large proportion of heavy goods vehicles has no <strong>in</strong>fluence on the frequency of accidents but on<br />
their severity.<br />
The width of the shoulder has turned out to be a significant accident predictor. However, <strong>in</strong><br />
contrast, the width of the shoulder has no <strong>in</strong>fluence on the number of casualties. These results<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicate that, while wide shoulders can reduce the probability of an accident, they cannot reduce<br />
the consequences of accidents.<br />
Other features <strong>in</strong>vestigated appear to have no significant <strong>in</strong>fluence on road safety <strong>in</strong> tunnels. In<br />
particular, the features of "posted/permissible top speed", "number of bends", "longitud<strong>in</strong>al<br />
<strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ation", "height of shoulder", "lane width", "tunnel height" and "light density" are irrelevant <strong>in</strong><br />
this connection.<br />
This study basically reveals that, from an objective standpo<strong>in</strong>t, the problem of accidents <strong>in</strong> tunnels<br />
should not be dramatized. However, it is important that tunnels are constructed and operated <strong>in</strong><br />
such a way that the optimum level of safety can be assured.<br />
To supplement the measures proposed by the Tunnel Task Force, the follow<strong>in</strong>g recommendations<br />
can be made (Table Z.2):