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expenditure has been largely relying on the ODA, that too on grants. But,<br />

one has to take into account the bi� er reality of rela� ve squeeze in the size<br />

and composi� on of the development expenditure itself. In such situa� on,<br />

one expects a sharp increase in the level of ODA, so that it can at least<br />

compensate for the loss in the revenue surplus. Unfortunately, it did not<br />

happen. It is implicitly sugges� ve of the fact that donors are much more<br />

incrementalist and bureaucra� c than the Government of Nepal (GoN). On<br />

the part of the GoN too, it should have stepped up its eff orts in rapidly<br />

securing the disbursement of the aid already commi� ed by the donors.<br />

But the en� re GoN machinery got bogged down in coping with and aba� ng<br />

the confl ict. People’s need and expecta� on, in the current juncture, calls<br />

for signifi cantly increasing the size of the development expenditure from<br />

current one-third to two-third. This is where the government of Nepal and<br />

its development partners need to co-work as early as possible.<br />

Foreign Aid and the External Economy<br />

This sec� on examines the rela� ve importance of foreign aid in comparison<br />

to Nepal’s total amount of foreign exchange earnings, par� cularly with<br />

respect to merchandise exports and remi� ances. It also examines the size of<br />

external debt stock in rela� on to the total foreign exchange earnings. Finally,<br />

this sec� on also looks into the debt servicing burden: repayment of principal<br />

and interest on foreign loans in comparison to the total foreign exchange<br />

earnings and its principal components; the exports, remi� ances, and aid<br />

infl ows.<br />

In the P era, ODA was the single largest source of foreign exchange<br />

receipts in Nepal. It was followed by merchandise exports, while remi� ance<br />

was nominal. There was a signifi cant turnaround in the PD years, when<br />

remi� ance exceeded all the other sources of foreign exchange earnings. It<br />

was followed by exports, while foreign aid infl ows were relegated to the third<br />

place. In the LIC years, exports topped the list of foreign exchange earnings<br />

which was followed by aid and then by remi� ances. In the following two<br />

phases of HIC and PT, remi� ances dominate all other sources of foreign<br />

exchange earnings followed by exports and foreign aid.<br />

Changing paradigms of aid eff ec� veness in Nepal 7

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