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Proceedings of the Fifth Asian Regional Maize Workshop - Search ...

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when grown under farmers' conditions, hybrids developed by public<br />

sector research institutions provided a large yield advantage (as well<br />

as o<strong>the</strong>r desirable characteristics) compared to local varieties.<br />

- private seed companies or cooperatives (public seed companies, in <strong>the</strong><br />

case <strong>of</strong> China) were able to produce and market quality seed at affordable<br />

prices<br />

public extension services played an important role in widely<br />

demonstrating <strong>the</strong> technology in farmers' fields and in educating farmers<br />

about <strong>the</strong> need to replace seed annually.<br />

Perhaps <strong>the</strong> single most important lesson emerging from <strong>the</strong> early success stories was<br />

that hybrid maize can be appropriate under a wide range <strong>of</strong> production conditions and<br />

levels <strong>of</strong> management. The realization that hybrids could be suitable for less than optimal<br />

production conditions soon led to a significant change in hybrid development strategies.<br />

Although many researchers and policy makers previously had argued that hybrids should be<br />

promoted only when average yields reach a threshold level <strong>of</strong> about 2.5 - 3.0 t/ha, <strong>the</strong>se<br />

success stories demonstrated that small-scale farmers can pr<strong>of</strong>itably adopt hybrid seed in<br />

situations where average yields are still quite low. For example, Cuti~ (1975) documented<br />

<strong>the</strong> successful adoption <strong>of</strong> hybrids in El salvador, where yields averaged only 1 - 1.5<br />

t/ha, and Rohrbach (1989) described adoption taking place in dry areas <strong>of</strong> Zimbabwe where<br />

average yields average only about 0.6 t/ha.<br />

With <strong>the</strong> realization that hybrid maize technologies can be appropriate even for<br />

small-scale farmers, attention within CIMMYT and in many national breeding programs<br />

shifted back to hybrids. This shift in focus was subsequently reflected in <strong>the</strong> mix <strong>of</strong><br />

products coming out <strong>of</strong> national breeding programs (Figure 3). Since 1985, <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong><br />

hybrids released has increased relative to <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> OPVs, and sales <strong>of</strong> hybrid seed<br />

have risen dramatically. Hybrid seed sales have risen even in countries where improved<br />

OPVs had been very popular, such as Thailand and India.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> success stories described above no doubt played a role in <strong>the</strong> shift in<br />

attention back to hybrids, institutional and policy changes have also contributed to <strong>the</strong><br />

surge in hybrid use. Particularly during <strong>the</strong> 198Os, many countries enacted laws designed<br />

-to encourage greater participation by <strong>the</strong> private sector in seed production and marketing<br />

activities. These changes were <strong>of</strong>ten supported by <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> policies designed<br />

to promote foreign investment in seed industries, leading to <strong>the</strong> entry <strong>of</strong> multinational<br />

seed companies into many markets.<br />

3. EOOI'lC8ics <strong>of</strong> adopting hybrid maize<br />

Economic as well as non-economic factors influence <strong>the</strong> farmer's decision whe<strong>the</strong>r or<br />

not to adopt hybrid maize (Figure 4). Economic factors affect <strong>the</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> growing<br />

hybrids, while non-economic factors affect <strong>the</strong> farmer's knowledge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> technology,<br />

access to <strong>the</strong> technology, and <strong>the</strong> perceived riskiness <strong>of</strong> adopting <strong>the</strong> technology. The main<br />

economic factors influencing <strong>the</strong> adoption <strong>of</strong> hybrid maize are discussed below.<br />

3.1. Price <strong>of</strong> hybrid seed<br />

Since hybrid seed must be purchased annually, <strong>the</strong> price <strong>of</strong> seed is potentially<br />

important in <strong>the</strong> adoption decision, especially in <strong>the</strong> case <strong>of</strong> small-scale farmers for whom<br />

cash availability is usually a constraint. The price <strong>of</strong> hybrid seed varies tremendously<br />

from one country to ano<strong>the</strong>r (Figure 5), depending on various factors:<br />

- <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> hybrid. The seed yield <strong>of</strong> parental inbred lines varies<br />

depending on <strong>the</strong> type <strong>of</strong> hybrid, resulting in large differences in production<br />

costs. seed <strong>of</strong> single-cross hybrids is generally <strong>the</strong> most expensive<br />

to produce, while seed <strong>of</strong> non-conventional (top-cross) hybrids is<br />

usually <strong>the</strong> least costly (Figure 6).<br />

6. Maiie seed-to-grain price ratios, by seed type.<br />

- net seed yields. Even for a given type <strong>of</strong> hybrid, <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong><br />

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