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Toxicology of Industrial Compounds

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170 EXTRAPOLATION OF TOXICITY DATA AND ASSESSMENT OF RISK<br />

factors or different default factors have recently been published (Lewis et<br />

al., 1990; Renwick, 1991, 1993).<br />

The second approach (for non-threshold effects) also relies mainly on<br />

default assumptions for dose-response extrapolation and cross-species<br />

extrapolation. Especially cancer risk assessment has been the subject <strong>of</strong><br />

much debate and there are a number <strong>of</strong> extrapolation methods reviewed<br />

recently by Park and Hawkins (1993) and Hallenbeck (1993). The default<br />

methodology in the . has been summarized by Frederick (1993). In<br />

principle, the risk assessment is based on a chronic rodent bioassay<br />

conducted at or near the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). The lifetime<br />

constant dose rates and the tumour incidence data for the individual dose<br />

groups are used to determine the dose response by fitting the data with a<br />

computer program. The linearized multistage cancer model (LMS) is <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

used to perform this step. The LMS model extrapolates the rodent tumor<br />

data observed at the MTD to a dose with a predefined risk and the 95 per<br />

cent upper bound on the dose-response curve is calculated. The interspecies<br />

extrapolation to humans is performed by a correction factor based on body<br />

weight or body surface. Subsequently, the dose is determined that<br />

corresponds to a maximum allowable calculated upper bound on risk. The<br />

resulting number does not describe the actual human risk under low-level<br />

environmental exposure, but provides an upper bound to human risk that<br />

is assumed not to be exceeded. The actual risk may be in the range between<br />

0 and the upper bound. In the process described, the dose is defined as<br />

administered dose or inhaled concentration. As a result, the lowdose<br />

extrapolation does not take into account non-linearities in tissue dosimetry<br />

and response. In addition, the interspecies extrapolation is performed using<br />

a default approach that does not account for mechanistic species<br />

differences.<br />

Use <strong>of</strong> PBPK models in risk assessment<br />

General description<br />

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models have been used<br />

increasingly over the past decade to improve several aspects <strong>of</strong> the<br />

assessment <strong>of</strong> risk associated with human exposure to chemicals. Examples<br />

are PBPK models for styrene (Ramsey and Andersen, 1984; Csanády et al.,<br />

1994), dichloromethane (Andersen et al., 1987), 1,4-dioxane (Reitz et al.,<br />

1990a), chlor<strong>of</strong>orm (Reitz et al., 1990b), ethyl acrylate (Frederick et al.,<br />

1992), methanol (Horton et al., 1992) and 1,3-butadiene (Johanson and<br />

Filser, 1993). Recent reviews <strong>of</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> PBPK models in risk assessment<br />

have been published by several authors (Frederick, 1993; Travis, 1993;<br />

Wilson and Cox, 1993; Andersen and Krishnan, 1994).

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