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Biofuels in Perspective

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Bio-Ethanol Development(s) <strong>in</strong> Brazil 73<br />

Another important issue is that subsidies are essential and will be required for many<br />

years, but it is fundamental to clearly impose conditions (e.g. improvements on productivity,<br />

cost reductions) and to def<strong>in</strong>e the time extent of the given benefits. This was not done<br />

appropriately <strong>in</strong> Brazil for many years and the results were an <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity larger<br />

than necessary <strong>in</strong> the short term and the entrance of producers not exactly <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> the<br />

future of the ethanol market.<br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>uous technological development is a challenge that needs to be faced by an<br />

energy sector <strong>in</strong> general, and by biofuels producers <strong>in</strong> particular. Tak<strong>in</strong>g the example of<br />

Brazil regard<strong>in</strong>g the cont<strong>in</strong>uous development of cane varieties, this has been essential also<br />

because of the need to avoid plagues and diseases that could devastate the production<br />

<strong>in</strong> few years. Some required developments are time consum<strong>in</strong>g and must be oriented to<br />

specific targets, and these challenges are difficult to be overcome by a s<strong>in</strong>gle new producer<br />

country. Cooperation between producer countries and between developed and develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries should be explored. In this sense, Brazil has great expertise to share regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />

ethanol production from sugarcane.<br />

In addition, it seems naïve to imag<strong>in</strong>e that a biofuel program would be able to <strong>in</strong>duce<br />

by itself reforms that could solve structural problems <strong>in</strong> a certa<strong>in</strong> country, such as wealth<br />

distribution and endemic poverty. However, a biofuel program should be planned and<br />

developed to be part of the evolutionary process that society needs. Brazilian production<br />

of ethanol is based on plantations, and few entrepreneurs have the ownership of farms and<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries. There are thousands of sugarcane suppliers <strong>in</strong> Brazil (about 60,000, responsible<br />

for about 30–35 % of the sugarcane produced 36 ), but <strong>in</strong> a given region the market is<br />

monopsonic, or close to that. The production based on cooperatives of producers is a<br />

challenge that needs to be faced by a new producer country.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, as stated by Goldemberg, 37 large-scale production of ethanol from sugarcane<br />

can be replicated <strong>in</strong> other countries without serious damage to natural ecosystems. In order<br />

to displace about 10 % of the gasol<strong>in</strong>e used <strong>in</strong> the world it will be necessary to expand<br />

sugarcane production by a factor of ten. The area required, about 30 Mha of sugarcane <strong>in</strong><br />

Brazil and <strong>in</strong> other countries, mostly develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, is a small fraction of the more<br />

than 1 billion hectares of primary crops already harvested on the planet.<br />

4.9 Conclusions<br />

Large-scale production of ethanol <strong>in</strong> Brazil is a relevant case study, both because of<br />

the good results achieved and the mistakes done. The importance of ethanol as automotive<br />

fuel <strong>in</strong> Brazil is unique, and barely will be observed <strong>in</strong> another country. Brazil is so far the<br />

unique country where ethanol is competitive with gasol<strong>in</strong>e with no subsidies and where<br />

there is real competition <strong>in</strong> the market between these two fuels.<br />

Ethanol production costs <strong>in</strong> Brazil must be the lowest <strong>in</strong> the world for many years and<br />

perhaps ever. However, <strong>in</strong> order to keep its position as a lead<strong>in</strong>g country and – ma<strong>in</strong>ly – to<br />

be really competitive <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>ternational market, it is necessary to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> R&D efforts,<br />

while consider<strong>in</strong>g different routes of production (e.g. hydrolysis and biofuels production<br />

based on biomass gasification) and different fuels (e.g. the production of diesel oil through<br />

synthesis gases). In this sense, diversification of production is an essential issue and it is

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