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Shasta Trinity National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Pacific Southwest Region (R5)<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Figure 20 displays results from the assessment of relative risk to infrastructure. Resource value was based<br />

on relative densities of roads and recreation sites in nearstream areas, road crossings and water diversions.<br />

Areas depicted in green are least likely to have infrastructure affected by extreme events. Watersheds<br />

shown in red are expected to have the greatest changes in peak flows and will be most vulnerable to<br />

impacts associated with extreme events. Investing in watershed improvements that buffer runoff response<br />

(disconnecting road crossings, etc.) may be most efficient in watersheds with greater resilience (green).<br />

This model needs more work to better synthesize resource values. Wilderness areas obviously should<br />

have greater resiliency and lower vulnerability; at this point, trail crossings are included in the model and<br />

result in higher vulnerability ratings.<br />

Figure 20. Watershed Vulnerability to Climate Change from Extreme Events<br />

RESPONDING TO CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

In ecology, resilience describes how much disturbance a system can "absorb" without substantially<br />

changing its condition and structure (Bakke 2009). In regard to recovery, habitat restoration, and<br />

conservation of at-risk aquatic species, resiliency also requires that certain key habitat characteristics or<br />

processes will change little, or not at all, in response to climate change (Bakke 2009).<br />

204 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change

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