watervulnerability

Recommendations

Info

Shasta Trinity National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Pacific Southwest Region (R5) better protect our precious water resources. The Forest needs to share results and develop educational tools to show how large scale climate information can be used at smaller scales and what new challenges and opportunities exist. LESSONS LEARNED • Scale Matters • Simplify Assessments − Focus on “processes” related to key values − Identify, locate and prioritize solutions based on these same key processes and potential effects. • Synthesis is key and most challenging − Seek assistance and involve critical thinkers! PROJECT TEAM • Tyler Putt, GIS Specialist, Shasta Trinity National Forest • Lois Shoemaker, Fire Ecologist, Shasta Trinity National Forest • Ralph Martinez, GIS Specialist, Plumas National Forest • Brenda Olson, Biologist Fish and Wildlife Service • Michael Wopat, Engineering Geologist, California Geological Survey • Sherry Mitchell Bruker, Hydrologist, Lassen National Forest The above individuals provided many reference resources and participated in initial brainstorming processes or development of data layers and critical reviews that helped to guide this project. Ken Roby, Lassen National Forest and USFS Stream Systems Technology Center (retired) provided advice during the analysis, and edited the draft report. Dr Lee Benda of Earth Systems Institute provided solar exposure to stream dataset products from the Net Map Model. We acknowledge the modeling groups, the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) and the WCRP's Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM) for their roles in making available the WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset. Support of this dataset is provided by the Office of Science, U.S. Department of Energy. REFERENCES Aguado, E., D. R. Cayan, L. G. Riddle, and M. Roos. 1992. Climatic fluctuations and the timing of West Coast streamflow. J. Climate, 5, 1468–1483. Bailey. 1994. Hierarchy of Ecoregions at a Range of Scales. Bakke, Jostein; Lie, Øivind; Heegaard, Einar; Dokken, Trond Martin; Haug, Gerald; Birks, Hilary H; Dulski, Peter; Nilsen, Trygve. 2009. Rapid oceanic and atmospheric changes during the Younger Dryas cold period. Nature Geoscience 2, s. 202-205. (html) 206 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change
Shasta Trinity National Forest Watershed Vulnerability Assessment, Pacific Southwest Region (R5) Benda, L., Miller, D. J., Andras, K., Bigelow, P., Reeves, G., and Michael, D. 2007. NetMap: A new tool in support of watershed science and resource management, Forest Sci., 52, 206–219, Caissie, D. 2006. The thermal regime of rivers: a review. Freshwater Biology 51:1389–1406. Cayan DR, Kammerdiener S, Dettinger MD, Caprio JM, Peterson DH. 2001. Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 82(3):399–415 Crozier, L. G., and R. W. Zabel. 2006. Climate impacts at multiple scales: evidence for differential population responses in juvenile Chinook salmon. Journal of Animal Ecology 75:1100–1109. Daly, Christopher. 2010. PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) climate mapping system, PRISM Climate Group director. http://prism.oregonstate.edu/ Dettinger, M. D. and D. R. Cayan. 1995. Large-scale atmospheric forcing of recent trends toward early snowmelt runoff in California. J. of Climate, 8, 606-623. Fausch, K. D., Y. Taniguchi, S. Nakano, G. D. Grossman, and C. R. Townsend. 2001. Flood disturbance regimes influence rainbow trout invasion success among five holarctic regions, Ecol. Appl., 11, 1438-1455. Hamlet, A. F., P. W. Mote, M. P. Clark, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States, J. Clim., 18, 4545 4561. Isaak, D.I, Luce, C.H, Rieman, B.E, Nagel, D.E., Peterson, E.E, Horan, D.L., Parkes, S., and Chandler, G.L 2010. Effects of climate change and wildfire on stream temperatures and salmonid thermal habitat in a mountain river network. Ecological Applications, 20(5), 2010, pp. 1350–137. Isaak, D. J.; Thurow, R. F.; Rieman, B. E.; Dunham, J. B. 2007. Relative roles of habitat size, connectivity, and quality on Chinook salmon use of spawning patches. Ecological Applications. 17: 352- 364. Liang, X., D. P. Lettenmaier, E. F. Wood, and S. J. Burges. 1994. A simple hydrologically based model of land-surface water and energy fluxes for general-circulation models, J. Geophys. Res.- Atmospheres, 99, 14415-14428. Liang, X., E. F. Wood, and D. P. Lettenmaier. 1996. Surface soil moisture parameterization of the VIC-‐2L model: Evaluation and modification, Global Planet. Change, 13, 195–206. Luce, C. H., and Z. A. Holden. 2009. Declining annual streamflow distributions in the Pacific Northwest United States, 1948–2006, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L16401, doi:10.1029/2009GL039407. Luo, L. F., and E. F. Wood. 2007. Monitoring and predicting the 2007 U.S. drought, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, 6. Maurer, E. P., L. Brekke, T. Pruitt, and P. B. Duffy. 2007. 'Fine-resolution climate projections enhance regional climate change impact studies', Eos Trans. AGU, 88(47), 504. "bias-corrected and spatially downscaled climate projections derived from CMIP3 data and served at: http://gdodcp.ucllnl.org/downscaled_cmip3_projections/, described by Maurer et al (2007)." 207 Assessing the Vulnerability of Watersheds to Climate Change
Page 2 and 3:
AUTHORS AND CONTRIBUTORS Authors* M
Page 4 and 5:
ASSESSSING THE VULNERABILITY OF WAT
Page 6 and 7:
staff; the task group included repr
Page 8 and 9:
Figure 2. Conceptual model for asse
Page 10 and 11:
Figure 3. Density of springs and sm
Page 12 and 13:
Using Historic Data One finding con
Page 14 and 15:
NF (Region 8) relied on information
Page 16 and 17:
level of uncertainty. Though there
Page 18 and 19:
climate (Casola et al. 2005). Only
Page 20 and 21:
sensitivity. Most were derived from
Page 22 and 23:
The sensitivity evaluation typicall
Page 24 and 25:
in exposure. The result of combinin
Page 26 and 27:
highest priority for management act
Page 28 and 29:
to information affected the assessm
Page 30 and 31:
with and rely on in many resource d
Page 32 and 33:
Pilot National Forest Reports Conte
Page 34 and 35:
Assessment of Watershed Vulnerabili
Page 36 and 37:
Gallatin National Forest Watershed
Page 38 and 39:
Page 40 and 41:
Page 42 and 43:
Page 44 and 45:
Page 46 and 47:
Page 48 and 49:
Page 50 and 51:
Page 52 and 53:
Helena National Forest Watershed Vu
Page 54 and 55:
Page 56 and 57:
Page 58 and 59:
Page 60 and 61:
Page 62 and 63:
Page 64 and 65:
Page 66 and 67:
Page 68 and 69:
Page 70 and 71:
Grand Mesa, Uncompahgre and Gunniso
Page 72 and 73:
Page 74 and 75:
Page 76 and 77:
Page 78 and 79:
Page 80 and 81:
Page 82 and 83:
Page 84 and 85:
Page 86 and 87:
Page 88 and 89:
Page 90 and 91:
Page 92 and 93:
Page 94 and 95:
Page 96 and 97:
Page 98 and 99:
Page 100 and 101:
Page 102 and 103:
Page 104 and 105:
Page 106 and 107:
Page 108 and 109:
Page 110 and 111:
Page 112 and 113:
Page 114 and 115:
Page 116 and 117:
Page 118 and 119:
White River National Forest Watersh
Page 120 and 121:
Page 122 and 123:
Page 124 and 125:
Page 126 and 127:
Page 128 and 129:
Page 130 and 131:
Page 132 and 133:
Page 134 and 135:
Page 136 and 137:
Coconino National Forest Watershed
Page 138 and 139:
Page 140 and 141:
Page 142 and 143:
Page 144 and 145:
Page 146 and 147:
Page 148 and 149:
Page 150 and 151:
Page 152 and 153:
Page 154 and 155:
Page 156 and 157:
Page 158 and 159:
Page 160 and 161: Coconino National Forest Watershed
Page 162 and 163: Coconino National Forest Watershed
Page 164 and 165: Sawtooth National Forest Watershed
Page 190 and 191: Shasta Trinity National Forest Wate
Page 214 and 215: Assessment of Watershed Vulnerabili
Page 216 and 217: Umatilla National Forest Watershed
Page 232 and 233: Ouachita National Forest Watershed
Page 242 and 243: Chequamegon-‐Nicolet National F
Page 260 and 261:
Chequamegon-‐Nicolet National F
Page 262 and 263:
Page 264 and 265:
Page 266 and 267:
Page 268 and 269:
Page 270 and 271:
Page 272 and 273:
Chugach National Forest Watershed V
Page 274 and 275:
Page 276 and 277:
Page 278 and 279:
Page 280 and 281:
Page 282 and 283:
Page 284 and 285:
Page 286 and 287:
Page 288 and 289:
Page 290 and 291:
Page 292 and 293:
Page 294 and 295:
Page 296 and 297:
Page 298 and 299:
Page 300 and 301:
Page 302 and 303:
Page 304 and 305:
Page 306 and 307:
Page 308 and 309:
show all

watervulnerability

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?