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The 2000 municipal elections, separated for the first time from national<br />

elections, gave the Sandinistas control of most major municipalities, including<br />

Managua. This result put the FSLN in a strong position going into the national<br />

polls in 2001. The PLC nominated Alemán’s Vice President, the prominent<br />

businessman Enrique Bolaños, while the FSLN again nominated Daniel Ortega.<br />

Bolaños won an easy victory with 56 percent of the vote to Ortega’s 42 percent,<br />

although Ortega received a higher voting percentage than in the preceding<br />

elections of 1990 and 1996, and increased his total votes by 37.6 percent.<br />

Bolaños also had the highest percentage ever received by an anti-Sandinista<br />

candidate, and increased his vote count over Alemán’s by 35.8 percent. The<br />

party system was polarizing: besides the PLC and FSLN, only the Conservatives<br />

received any representation in the Assembly (Nohlen 2005, 498).<br />

Although presidential systems tend toward bipolarity because of the<br />

inherent winner-take-all character of presidential elections, this tendency was<br />

emphatically reinforced not only by the Ortega-Alemán pact, but also by the<br />

direct intervention of the United States in Nicaraguan politics. It has been a<br />

constant of U.S. policy since the Reagan years to oppose Sandinista control of<br />

the Nicaraguan government, and to do so when necessary in a highly public<br />

manner. Public intimidation of the Nicaraguan electorate by U.S. ambassadors<br />

and senior State Department officials is such a normal occurrence that it no<br />

longer produces public expressions of outrage. The U.S. embassy has<br />

consistently pressured the anti-Sandinista forces to cooperate and to support a<br />

single candidate, and has made it absolutely clear that a Sandinista victory would<br />

lead to severe economic consequences.<br />

A new element of U.S. policy under the current George W. Bush<br />

Administration (200l-2009) has been the rejection of Alemán because of his<br />

egregious corruption. The Embassy encouraged the newly elected Bolaños to<br />

prosecute Alemán, an initiative that ultimately succeeded (with Sandinista help)<br />

in removing his immunity from prosecution (as an ex officio deputy), followed by<br />

conviction and house arrest. It appears that the Bush Administration was<br />

embarrassed by its association with Alemán, and sought to have Bolaños take<br />

over the PLC. But Alemán proved to have a much firmer grasp on his party than<br />

either the Embassy or Bolaños expected. Thus most of Bolaños’ term was taken<br />

up by a constitutional crisis between the President (with a small number of<br />

supporters in the Assembly) and an informal coalition between Alemán’s PLC and<br />

Ortega’s FSLN. Only toward the end of 2005 did the Sandinistas shift to provide<br />

some support for Bolaños.<br />

Approaching the elections of November 2006, the Bush Administration<br />

thus found itself in the awkward position of having backed the main loser in the<br />

current political struggle. It still wanted to block a Sandinista victory, but it also<br />

needed to block the PLC, which was still controlled by Alemán. The former<br />

strategy of blocking the Sandinistas by promoting unity among the anti-<br />

21

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