1 evaluación del impacto de la implementacion de un plan de partos ...

Section 5MODEL COMPONENT LAG COEFF STANDARD P T# (BOP) ERROR VALUE VALUE1 CONSTANT 2.042 Autoregressive-Factor # 1 1 .161INPUT SERIES X1 I~S00103 2003/ 8SEASP3 Omega (input) -Factor # 2 0 8.02INPUT SERIES X2 I~P00146 2007/ 3 PULSE4 Omega (input) -Factor # 3 0 4.88INPUT SERIES X3 I~S00110 2004/ 3 SEASP5 Omega (input) -Factor # 4 0 6.82INPUT SERIES X4 I~P00151 2007/ 8 PULSE6 Omega (input) -Factor # 5 0 -10.0INPUT SERIES X5 I~P00140 2006/ 9 PULSE7 Omega (input) -Factor # 6 0 7.73INPUT SERIES X6 I~P00111 2004/ 4 PULSE8 Omega (input) -Factor # 7 0 7.04INPUT SERIES X7 I~P00076 2001/ 5 PULSE9 Omega (input) -Factor # 8 0 8.07INPUT SERIES X8 I~P00152 2007/ 9 PULSE10 Omega (input) -Factor # 9 0 5.88INPUT SERIES X9 I~S00081 2001/ 10 SEASP11 Omega (input) -Factor #10 0 2.17INPUT SERIES X10 I~P00145 2007/ 2 PULSE12 Omega (input) -Factor #11 0 4.97INPUT SERIES X11 I~P00123 2005/ 4 PULSE13 Omega (input) -Factor #12 0 4.83Y(T) = 2.4356+[X1(T)][(+ 8.0192 )]+[X2(T)][(+ 4.8776 )]+[X3(T)][(+ 6.8186 )]+[X4(T)][(- 10.0220 )]+[X5(T)][(+ 7.7303 )]+[X6(T)][(+ 7.0445 )]+[X7(T)][(+ 8.0730 )]+[X8(T)][(+ 5.8839 )]+[X9(T)][(+ 2.1660 )]+[X10(T)[(+ 4.9677 )]+[X11(T)[(+ 4.8298 )]+ [(1- .161B** 1)]**-1 [A(T)]Section 6PLOT OF THE OBSERVED (ACTUAL) & THE FORECAST SERIESGRAPH KEYA = NacimientosF = FORECASTSDATE ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++1995/ 2 A 1.0000123