1 evaluación del impacto de la implementacion de un plan de partos ...

Anexo E. Resumen estadístico del ARIMA para el indicador producción lácteamensualSection 1THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS ALLOWED IN A SERIES IS: 1000THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF SERIES ALLOWED IN A MODEL IS: 30THE SERIAL NUMBER IS: 90004THE PRODUCT NUMBER IS: 6PRODUCT: 3ABBREVIATED OUTPUT*MODEL STATISTICS AND EQUATION FOR THE CURRENT EQUATION (DETAILS FOLLOW).Estimation/Diagnostic Checking for Variable Y = prodlacteaX1 = FIXED_EFF_N1_001X2 = FIXED_EFF_N1_002X3 = FIXED_EFF_N1_003X4 = FIXED_EFF_N1_004X5 = FIXED_EFF_N1_005X6 = FIXED_EFF_N1_006X7 = FIXED_EFF_N1_007X8 = FIXED_EFF_N1_008X9 = FIXED_EFF_N1_00910 = FIXED_EFF_N1_01011 = FIXED_EFF_N1_011: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 12 = I~T00001 1995/ 1 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 13 = I~T00068 2000/ 8 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 14 = I~L00062 2000/ 2 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 15 = I~L00112 2004/ 4 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 16 = I~L00030 1997/ 6 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 17 = I~P00061 2000/ 1 PULSEMODEL STATISTICS IN TERMS OF THE ORIGINAL DATANumber of Residuals (R) =n 154Number of Degrees of Freedom =n-m 134Residual Mean =Sum R / n .241790E-09Sum of Squares =Sum R**2 .224256E+09Variance var=SOS/(n) .145621E+07Adjusted Variance =SOS/(n-m) .167355E+07Standard Deviation =SQRT(Adj Var) 1293.66Standard Error of the Mean =Standard Dev/ 111.755Mean / its Standard Error =Mean/SEM .216357E-11Mean Absolute Deviation =Sum(ABS(R))/n 953.894AIC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +2m 2225.47SBC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +m*lnn 2286.21BIC Value ( Uses var ) =see Wei p153 1904.16R Square = .931600Durbin-Watson Statistic =[A-A(T-1)]**2/A**2 2.19324D-W STATISTIC SUGGESTS NO SIGNIFICANT AUTOCORRELATION for lag1.Section 2127