1 evaluación del impacto de la implementacion de un plan de partos ...

Anexo F. Resumen estadístico del ARIMA para el indicador producción lácteamensual por hectáreaSection 1THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS ALLOWED IN A SERIES IS: 1000THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF SERIES ALLOWED IN A MODEL IS: 30THE SERIAL NUMBER IS: 90004THE PRODUCT NUMBER IS: 6PRODUCT: 3ABBREVIATED OUTPUT*MODEL STATISTICS AND EQUATION FOR THE CURRENT EQUATION (DETAILS FOLLOW).Estimation/Diagnostic Checking for Variable Y = prodmensualxhaX1 = FIXED_EFF_N1_001X2 = FIXED_EFF_N1_002X3 = FIXED_EFF_N1_003X4 = FIXED_EFF_N1_004X5 = FIXED_EFF_N1_005X6 = FIXED_EFF_N1_006X7 = FIXED_EFF_N1_007X8 = FIXED_EFF_N1_008X9 = FIXED_EFF_N1_00910 = FIXED_EFF_N1_01011 = FIXED_EFF_N1_011: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 12 = I~T00001 1995/ 1 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 13 = I~T00068 2000/ 8 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 14 = I~L00062 2000/ 2 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 15 = I~L00112 2004/ 4 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 16 = I~L00030 1997/ 6 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE 17 = I~P00061 2000/ 1 PULSEMODEL STATISTICS IN TERMS OF THE ORIGINAL DATANumber of Residuals (R) =n 154Number of Degrees of Freedom =n-m 134Residual Mean =Sum R / n .250806E-09Sum of Squares =Sum R**2 .155903E+07Variance var=SOS/(n) 10123.6Adjusted Variance =SOS/(n-m) 11634.6Standard Deviation =SQRT(Adj Var) 107.864Standard Error of the Mean =Standard Dev/ 9.31801Mean / its Standard Error =Mean/SEM .269163E-10Mean Absolute Deviation =Sum(ABS(R))/n 79.5667AIC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +2m 1460.28SBC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +m*lnn 1521.02BIC Value ( Uses var ) =see Wei p153 1138.72R Square = .931493Durbin-Watson Statistic =[A-A(T-1)]**2/A**2 2.19358D-W STATISTIC SUGGESTS NO SIGNIFICANT AUTOCORRELATION for lag1.Section 2137