1 evaluación del impacto de la implementacion de un plan de partos ...

Anexo K. Resultado estadístico del ARIMA a el indicador de hembras delevanteSection 1THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF OBSERVATIONS ALLOWED IN A SERIES IS: 1000THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF SERIES ALLOWED IN A MODEL IS: 30THE SERIAL NUMBER IS: 90004THE PRODUCT NUMBER IS: 6PRODUCT: 3ABBREVIATED OUTPUT*MODEL STATISTICS AND EQUATION FOR THE CURRENT EQUATION (DETAILS FOLLOW).Estimation/Diagnostic Checking for Variable Y = PromNovillVien: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X1 = I~T00001 1995/ 1 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X2 = I~T00057 1999/ 9 TIME: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X3 = I~L00112 2004/ 4 LEVEL: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X4 = I~P00111 2004/ 3 PULSE: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X5 = I~P00106 2003/ 10 PULSE: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X6 = I~P00107 2003/ 11 PULSE: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X7 = I~P00105 2003/ 9 PULSEMODEL STATISTICS IN TERMS OF THE ORIGINAL DATANumber of Residuals (R) =n 152Number of Degrees of Freedom =n-m 141Residual Mean =Sum R / n .395227E-08Sum of Squares =Sum R**2 148.330Variance var=SOS/(n) .975852Adjusted Variance =SOS/(n-m) 1.05198Standard Deviation =SQRT(Adj Var) 1.02566Standard Error of the Mean =Standard Dev/ .863763E-01Mean / its Standard Error =Mean/SEM .457564E-07Mean Absolute Deviation =Sum(ABS(R))/n .773154AIC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +2m 18.2845SBC Value ( Uses var ) =nln +m*lnn 51.5472BIC Value ( Uses var ) =see Wei p153 82.4098R Square = .994636Durbin-Watson Statistic =[A-A(T-1)]**2/A**2 1.98217D-W STATISTIC SUGGESTS NO SIGNIFICANT AUTOCORRELATION for lag1.Section 2THE ESTIMATED MODEL PARAMETERSMODEL COMPONENT LAG COEFF STANDARD P T# (BOP) ERROR VALUE VALUE1 CONSTANT .264 .501 .5987 .532 Autoregressive-Factor # 1 1 1.36 .793E-01 .0000 17.183 2 -.430 .765E-01 .0000 -5.614 Autoregressive-Factor # 2 2 -.301 .885E-01 .0009 -3.41INPUT SERIES X1 I~T00001 1995/ 1TIME5 Omega (input) -Factor # 3 0 .804 .108 .0000 7.45INPUT SERIES X2 I~T00057 1999/ 9 TIME6 Omega (input) -Factor # 4 0 -1.19 .131 .0000 -9.10INPUT SERIES X3 I~L00112 2004/ 4 LEVEL167