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1 evaluación del impacto de la implementacion de un plan de partos ...

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LAG ACF T PACF TVALUE RATIO -1 0 +1 VALUE RATIO -1 0 +11 .121 .76 ** .121 .76 **2 -.030 -.19 * -.045 -.28 *3 -.236 -1.45 *** -.231 -1.44 ***4 .025 .14 * .086 .53 **5 -.113 -.66 ** -.149 -.93 **6 -.004 -.02 * -.025 -.15 *7 -.095 -.55 ** -.077 -.48 **8 -.152 -.87 *** -.216 -1.35 ***9 -.043 -.24 * .005 .03 *10 .228 1.28 *** .185 1.15 ***11 .205 1.10 *** .082 .51 **12 .118 .62 ** .105 .66 **Section 4Mo<strong><strong>de</strong>l</strong> Forecasting for Time Series Variable Y = IntPt1Serv4m: NEWLY IDENTIFIED VARIABLE X1 = I~P00011 1998/ 2 PULSESection 5MODEL COMPONENT LAG COEFF STANDARD P T# (BOP) ERROR VALUE VALUE1 CONSTANT 96.4INPUT SERIES X1 I~P00011 1998/ 2PULSE2 Omega (input) -Factor # 1 0 92.6Y(T) = 96.368+[X1(T)][(+ 92.6316 )]+ [A(T)]Section 6PLOT OF THE OBSERVED (ACTUAL) & THE FORECAST SERIESGRAPH KEYA = IntPt1Serv4mF = FORECASTSDATE ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++1995/ 1 A 146.001995/ 2 A 162.001995/ 3 A 106.001996/ 1 A 113.001996/ 2 A 75.0001996/ 3 A 100.001997/ 1 A 78.0001997/ 2 A 77.0001997/ 3 A 88.0001998/ 1 A 92.000157

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