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De kwetsbaarheid van het Europese landbouw- en voedselsysteem ...

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Box Research questions for the knowledge and innovation ag<strong>en</strong>da<br />

Risk analysis<br />

1. Stress tests: to what ext<strong>en</strong>t is the European livestock sector resistant to calamities such as bioterrorism attacks?<br />

And which calamities, other than those referred to in this report, are rele<strong>van</strong>t to food security?<br />

And which are rele<strong>van</strong>t to food safety? What could be the consequ<strong>en</strong>ces of these calamities? In any case,<br />

these other calamities include power and/or Internet outages, food contamination in large chains and a crash<br />

of the financial system.<br />

2. What are the interactions betwe<strong>en</strong> the markets for food, raw materials, <strong>en</strong>ergy and capital? For example:<br />

to what risks are the other three markets subjected as a result of the massive creation of dollars and euros<br />

on the capital market?<br />

3. Which geopolitical sc<strong>en</strong>arios – besides those already explored as part of the interdepartm<strong>en</strong>tal programme<br />

Schaarste <strong>en</strong> Transitie (Scarcity and Transition) and the Strategie Nationale Veiligheid (the National Security<br />

Strategy) – are conceivable and what are the ad<strong>van</strong>tages and risks of these sc<strong>en</strong>arios for agriculture and<br />

food security in the EU and developing countries? And how can these risks be reduced?<br />

4. What is the nature and impact of the remaining levels of dumping in the US and EU? In how far can the<br />

European farm paym<strong>en</strong>ts be regarded as dumping? And the US practice of corporate dumping? Does the<br />

latter also occur in the EU? Which options are available for mutual reduction?<br />

Prev<strong>en</strong>tion<br />

5. The curr<strong>en</strong>t agricultural support of the EU primarily relies on farm paym<strong>en</strong>ts. The basis of this support is<br />

possibly too narrow since it does much less to protect food chains. Explore w<strong>het</strong>her the support can be expanded<br />

with support for chains that would <strong>en</strong>able them to be more resili<strong>en</strong>t to calamities.<br />

6. How can the production of protein crops in the EU and the Netherlands be promoted? In more concrete<br />

terms:<br />

• innovation of protein crops and production systems, for example through breeding and selection;<br />

• options for trade policy exchange with other products.<br />

7. What are the possibilities and limitations of the production of combined <strong>en</strong>ergy/protein crops? More<br />

specifically:<br />

• What are the sustainability pros and cons of various systems of combined <strong>en</strong>ergy/protein production?<br />

• Are there options for a flexible biofuel bl<strong>en</strong>ding obligation that can reduce severe price fluctuations for<br />

both grain and proteins, while also avoiding conflicts with trading partners?<br />

8. What are the possibilities (also in the area of trade policy) for a bl<strong>en</strong>ding obligation for European-grown<br />

vegetable proteins in animal feeds, with or without comp<strong>en</strong>sation for trading partners?<br />

9. What options are available to str<strong>en</strong>gth<strong>en</strong> the resili<strong>en</strong>ce of the European agriculture and food system<br />

with respect to calamities and geopolitics? Besides biological and technical options, this also concerns options<br />

in logistics, sector structure, farming styles and social networks. What new opportunities are offered by<br />

social media?<br />

10. More specifically: what are the options for str<strong>en</strong>gth<strong>en</strong>ing the resili<strong>en</strong>ce of the int<strong>en</strong>sive int<strong>en</strong>sive livestock<br />

farming in the Netherlands, which is relatively vulnerable to contagious animal diseases and a collapse of<br />

soya imports. How can the structure and magnitude of the sector be adapted in such a way that it becomes<br />

less vulnerable to animal diseases and a collapse of soya imports?<br />

Preparedness<br />

11. Where are the gaps in the public knowledge base of the EU and the Netherlands in the area of plant and<br />

animal diseases, also regarding new emerging diseases (such as Rift Valley fever and the wheat diseases<br />

stripe rust and yellow rust) and the risk of bioterrorism? How can access to vital knowledge be secured in an<br />

era of commercialisation?<br />

12. How can an ext<strong>en</strong>sification scheme combine reduced production with <strong>en</strong>vironm<strong>en</strong>tal and biodiversity b<strong>en</strong>efits?<br />

Can such a scheme be monitored for compliance?<br />

13. Does a flexible nitrog<strong>en</strong> levy have possibilities as a buffer? What are the possibilities and ad<strong>van</strong>tages/disad<strong>van</strong>tages<br />

from the perspective of sustainability?<br />

14. What are the costs and b<strong>en</strong>efits of various options for prev<strong>en</strong>tion and preparedness? These options include<br />

replacing soya imports with Europe-grown proteins, stockpiling and a set-aside scheme. Where are the optimalities?<br />

146

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