1 The Birth of Science - MSRI
1 The Birth of Science - MSRI
1 The Birth of Science - MSRI
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3.2 Geodesy and Mathematical Geography 61<br />
earth. Someone who goes back and forth in thought between a drawing<br />
and the world is using, most <strong>of</strong>ten unconsciously, correspondence rules —<br />
precisely what we have singled out as an essential characteristic <strong>of</strong> scientific<br />
method. Indeed, only by making explicit all the underlying assumptions<br />
(which in the case <strong>of</strong> Eratosthenes were those <strong>of</strong> optics and <strong>of</strong> geometry,<br />
the roundness <strong>of</strong> the earth and the smallness <strong>of</strong> the earth compared<br />
with the distance to the sun) can one create a theoretical model that, being page 94<br />
approximately applicable to the earth, is also amenable to depiction by a<br />
drawing and so furnishes a logical bridge between the two.<br />
Eratosthenes’ method is a brilliant example <strong>of</strong> the power <strong>of</strong> scientific<br />
method: by going back and forth between the real world and the model,<br />
he gained information about the unknown regions <strong>of</strong> the earth, which no<br />
Ancient had ever seen.<br />
In the second century B.C., mathematical geography progressed thanks<br />
above all to Hipparchus <strong>of</strong> Nicaea. It was he who, in critiquing the method<br />
<strong>of</strong> his predecessors, had the idea <strong>of</strong> finding differences in longitude using<br />
astronomical methods, by measuring differences in local time for the same<br />
lunar eclipse. 57<br />
<strong>The</strong> study <strong>of</strong> geography was taken up again in the imperial age, in close<br />
connection with astronomy and spherical geometry, by Marinus <strong>of</strong> Tyre,<br />
whom we know only through Ptolemy’s criticism, and by Ptolemy himself<br />
(both second century A.D.). But whereas Eratosthenes had found one<br />
degree <strong>of</strong> meridian to be worth 700 stadia, a quite accurate number also<br />
accepted by Hipparchus a century later, 58 Marinus and Ptolemy adopted<br />
instead the value 500 stadia. 59 Although we do not know why the world<br />
shrank like this in the imperial age, an error <strong>of</strong> this magnitude must mean page 95<br />
that either the values <strong>of</strong> certain key geographic data current in Ptolemy’s<br />
time were much less accurate than they had been 400 years earlier, or that<br />
such data were misunderstood or misapplied. Either possibility should<br />
not surprise us, given that Ptolemy was separated from the golden age<br />
57 Strabo, Geography, I, i, 12. Strabo mentions also solar eclipses, obviously by an oversight, which<br />
nonetheless has propagated down the centuries (see, for example, the Encyclopaedia Britannica, 15th<br />
edition, Micropaedia, sub “Hipparchus”).<br />
58 Strabo, Geography, II, v, 7.<br />
59 Apparently this was not just a matter <strong>of</strong> inconsistent units: Ptolemy really did believe the<br />
meridian was shorter than formerly thought. That the shorter value had already been adopted<br />
by Marinus is mentioned in Ptolemy, Geography, I, xi. Using Ptolemy’s data, a person setting out to<br />
travel westward along the latitude <strong>of</strong> (say) Palos, Spain, would expect to cover 17,000 km (5/7 <strong>of</strong><br />
the actual value <strong>of</strong> 24,000 km) before returning home. If his goal were to reach Asia by traveling<br />
due west from Spain, he would estimate the length <strong>of</strong> the voyage by subtracting from 17,000 km<br />
the breadth <strong>of</strong> Eurasia (about 10,000 km). It turns out that Ptolemy’s error did not affect the size <strong>of</strong><br />
the known continents, which he reports with reasonable accuracy; thus the calculated difference<br />
(17,000 − 10,000 = 7,000 km) would be about half the true value (24,000 − 10,000 = 14,000 km). This<br />
may help explain why Columbus grossly underestimated the length <strong>of</strong> a westward route to Asia.<br />
Revision: 1.13 Date: 2002/10/16 19:04:00