will government's massive surge in investment ... - Myiris.com
will government's massive surge in investment ... - Myiris.com
will government's massive surge in investment ... - Myiris.com
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Apr-Jun 2013 Earn<strong>in</strong>gs Preview<br />
Wipro<br />
Rat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
BUY<br />
Price (Rs) 356<br />
Target Price (Rs) 410<br />
M/Cap (Rs bn) 875.6<br />
Shares o/s (m) 2,463.0<br />
Key Figures (Rs m)<br />
Y/e March FY13 FY14E FY15E<br />
Net Sales 374,256 411,491 452,524<br />
EBITDA 78,181 82,704 89,536<br />
Marg<strong>in</strong> (%) 20.9 20.1 19.8<br />
PAT 61,684 65,765 70,663<br />
EPS (Rs) 25.0 26.7 28.7<br />
Growth (%) 17.1 6.6 7.4<br />
RoE (%) 21.7 21.5 20.1<br />
PE (x) 14.2 13.3 12.4<br />
P / BV (x) 3.1 2.7 2.3<br />
EV / E (x) 10.1 9.3 8.1<br />
We expect Wipro to report IT Services revenue growth of 0.1% <strong>in</strong> USD terms to<br />
US$1,587m, <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with their guidance of -0.6% to 1.6% QoQ growth. We expect<br />
volumes to grow by 0.7% sequentially, with realization decl<strong>in</strong>e of 0.1% QoQ. EBITDA<br />
marg<strong>in</strong> is expected to expand by 12bps despite currency depreciation. We are<br />
expect<strong>in</strong>g the management <strong>com</strong>mentary to be more positive. We expect Wipro to<br />
guide for 2-4% QoQ growth for Q2FY14.<br />
Quarterly Table (Rs m)<br />
Y/e March<br />
Q1<br />
FY14E<br />
Q4<br />
FY13<br />
QoQ gr.<br />
(%)<br />
Q1<br />
FY13<br />
12M<br />
FY14E<br />
12M<br />
FY13<br />
YoY gr.<br />
(%)<br />
Net Sales 98,960 96,078 3.0 104,832 411,491 374,256 9.9<br />
EBITDA 20,386 19,681 3.6 19,728 82,704 78,181 5.8<br />
Marg<strong>in</strong> (%) 20.6 20.5 12 bps 18.8 20.1 20.9 (79)bps<br />
Reported PAT 17,681 17,373 1.8 15,802 65,765 61,684 6.6<br />
PAT (Excl. Ex Items) 17,681 17,373 1.8 15,802 65,765 61,684 6.6<br />
Operat<strong>in</strong>g Metrics<br />
Volume (persons month) 176,107 174,883 0.7 171,851 744,785 689,616 8.0<br />
Pric<strong>in</strong>g (US$ / Hr) 38.8 38.8 (0.1) 38.0 39.2 38.8 1.0<br />
Currency (USDINR) 56 54 2.9 55 54 55 (0.9)<br />
SW. Devp. (% of s ales) 69.5 69.7 (24)bps 69.5 70.2 69.6 51 bps<br />
SG&A (% of Sales) 9.9 9.8 13 bps 11.7 9.7 9.5 28 bps<br />
July 8, 2013 124