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Apr-Jun 2013 Earn<strong>in</strong>gs Preview<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese steel prices (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g 17% VAT) fell 10% QoQ or US$66/t at US$594 on<br />

account of weak demand, policy tighten<strong>in</strong>g by Govt to cool down the property rates<br />

and severe de-stock<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a HRC price<br />

700<br />

(US$ / tonne)<br />

650<br />

600<br />

550<br />

500<br />

450<br />

Jun-12<br />

Jul-12<br />

Aug-12<br />

Sep-12<br />

Oct-12<br />

Nov-12<br />

Dec-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Feb-13<br />

Mar-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

May-13<br />

Jun-13<br />

Source: Bloomberg, PL Research<br />

In tandem with the fall <strong>in</strong> steel prices, average for the spot iron ore prices (CIF Ch<strong>in</strong>a)<br />

fell 15% QoQ or US$22/t at US$126 on account of weak Ch<strong>in</strong>ese demand and<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased ore supplies.<br />

Indian orig<strong>in</strong> Iron Ore (63% Fe) Export Prices (CIF) to Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

160<br />

150<br />

(US$ / tonne)<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

Jun-12<br />

Jul-12<br />

Aug-12<br />

Sep-12<br />

Oct-12<br />

Nov-12<br />

Dec-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

Feb-13<br />

Mar-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

May-13<br />

Jun-13<br />

Source: Bloomberg, PL Research.<br />

July 8, 2013 127

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